Great West Bond Index Fund Market Value

MXCOX Fund  USD 8.58  0.02  0.23%   
Great-west Bond's market value is the price at which a share of Great-west Bond trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Great West Bond Index investors about its performance. Great-west Bond is trading at 8.58 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.23 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.56.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Great West Bond Index and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Great-west Bond over a given investment horizon. Check out Great-west Bond Correlation, Great-west Bond Volatility and Great-west Bond Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Great-west Bond.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-west Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great-west Bond is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-west Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Great-west Bond 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Great-west Bond's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Great-west Bond.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Great-west Bond on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Great West Bond Index or generate 0.0% return on investment in Great-west Bond over 720 days. Great-west Bond is related to or competes with Virtus Real, Simt Real, Vanguard Reit, Great-west Real, Fidelity Real, and Prudential Real. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities included in the benchmark index and, using... More

Great-west Bond Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Great-west Bond's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Great West Bond Index upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Great-west Bond Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Great-west Bond's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Great-west Bond's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Great-west Bond historical prices to predict the future Great-west Bond's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.278.588.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.288.598.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.318.628.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.458.528.59
Details

Great West Bond Backtested Returns

Great West Bond holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0508, which attests that the entity had a -0.0508% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Great West Bond exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Great-west Bond's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.36), risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 0.3114 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0693, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Great-west Bond's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Great-west Bond is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.69  

Very good reverse predictability

Great West Bond Index has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Great-west Bond time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Great West Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Great-west Bond price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.69
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Great West Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Great-west Bond mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Great-west Bond's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Great-west Bond returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Great-west Bond has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Great-west Bond regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Great-west Bond mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Great-west Bond mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Great-west Bond mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Great-west Bond Lagged Returns

When evaluating Great-west Bond's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Great-west Bond mutual fund have on its future price. Great-west Bond autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Great-west Bond autocorrelation shows the relationship between Great-west Bond mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Great West Bond Index.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west Bond security.
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