National Fuel Gas Stock Market Value
| NFG Stock | USD 87.34 1.73 2.02% |
| Symbol | National |
Can Gas Utilities industry sustain growth momentum? Does National have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating National Fuel demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.041 | Dividend Share 2.12 | Earnings Share 7.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.186 |
Investors evaluate National Fuel Gas using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating National Fuel's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause National Fuel's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between National Fuel's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National Fuel should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, National Fuel's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
National Fuel 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to National Fuel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of National Fuel.
| 11/16/2025 |
| 02/14/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in National Fuel on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 0.0% return on investment in National Fuel over 90 days. National Fuel is related to or competes with Hess Midstream, Sunoco LP, Antero Midstream, APA, Transportadora, Range Resources, and CNX Resources. National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company More
National Fuel Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure National Fuel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess National Fuel Gas upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9957 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0862 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.52 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.72 |
National Fuel Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National Fuel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as National Fuel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use National Fuel historical prices to predict the future National Fuel's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1262 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1433 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0723 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0898 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.48 |
National Fuel February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1262 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.49 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8193 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8553 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.9957 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 650.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Variance | 1.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0862 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1433 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0723 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0898 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.48 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.52 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9914 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7316 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.91) | |||
| Skewness | (0.13) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4809 |
National Fuel Gas Backtested Returns
At this point, National Fuel is very steady. National Fuel Gas has Sharpe Ratio of 0.14, which conveys that the firm had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for National Fuel, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify National Fuel's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1262, mean deviation of 0.8193, and Downside Deviation of 0.9957 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. National Fuel has a performance score of 11 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.1, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, National Fuel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National Fuel is expected to be smaller as well. National Fuel Gas right now secures a risk of 1.05%. Please verify National Fuel Gas expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if National Fuel Gas will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | 0.24 |
Weak predictability
National Fuel Gas has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between National Fuel time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of National Fuel Gas price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current National Fuel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.29 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 5.61 |
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Check out National Fuel Correlation, National Fuel Volatility and National Fuel Performance module to complement your research on National Fuel. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
National Fuel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.