National Fuel Gas Stock Analysis

NFG Stock  USD 70.03  0.29  0.41%   
National Fuel Gas is fairly valued with Real Value of 71.57 and Target Price of 71.25. The main objective of National Fuel stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what National Fuel Gas is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of National Fuel's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The National Fuel stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and National Fuel's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Fuel Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

National Stock Analysis Notes

About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of National Fuel was now reported as 31.3. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.05. National Fuel Gas recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of September 2001. National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company. National Fuel Gas Company was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Williamsville, New York. National Fuel operates under Oil Gas Integrated classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2188 people. To find out more about National Fuel Gas contact Ronald Tanski at 716 857 7000 or learn more at https://www.nationalfuel.com.

National Fuel Quarterly Total Revenue

549.48 Million

National Fuel Gas Investment Alerts

National Fuel Gas has 2.78 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.52, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Fuel Gas has a current ratio of 0.52, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return.
National Fuel Gas has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of National Fuel shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Synergy Asset Management LLC Increases Stock Position in National Fuel Gas - MarketBeat

National Fuel Gas Upcoming and Recent Events

7th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
1st of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of November 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

National Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact National Fuel's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2002-10-24
2002-09-300.060.05-0.0116 
2000-07-27
2000-06-300.20.18-0.0210 
2004-10-28
2004-09-300.120.09-0.0325 
View All Earnings Estimates

National Fuel Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

National Fuel's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates National Fuel's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of National Fuel's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect National Fuel's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

National Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Equity Investment Corp2024-09-30
1.2 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
1.2 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
1.2 M
Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
962.1 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
945.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
920.9 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
894.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
739.2 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
13.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
8.6 M
Note, although National Fuel's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

National Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 6.34 B.

National Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.04 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.33 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.33 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.03  0.03 

Management Efficiency

National Fuel Gas has Return on Asset of 0.0549 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0549 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0267 %, implying that it generated $0.0267 on every 100 dollars invested. National Fuel's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well National Fuel manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to 0.01. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to 0.03. At this time, National Fuel's Other Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The National Fuel's current Net Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to about 2.7 B, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 4.9 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 27.93  15.22 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 27.87  15.11 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 13.98  14.68 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.76  1.69 
Enterprise Value Multiple 13.98  14.68 
Price Fair Value 1.76  1.69 
Enterprise Value7.5 B4.1 B
The strategic decisions made by National Fuel management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Dividend Yield
0.0301
Operating Margin
0.3275
Profit Margin
0.0399
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0301
Beta
0.64

Technical Drivers

As of the 1st of February, National Fuel secures the Mean Deviation of 1.11, risk adjusted performance of 0.1246, and Downside Deviation of 1.53. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National Fuel Gas, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify National Fuel Gas information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if National Fuel Gas is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 70.03 per share. Given that National Fuel Gas has jensen alpha of 0.182, we recommend you to check National Fuel's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

National Fuel Gas Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. National Fuel middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for National Fuel Gas. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

National Fuel Gas Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific National Fuel insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on National Fuel's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases National Fuel insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

National Fuel Outstanding Bonds

National Fuel issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. National Fuel Gas uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most National bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when National Fuel Gas has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

National Fuel Predictive Daily Indicators

National Fuel intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of National Fuel stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

National Fuel Corporate Filings

8K
30th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
29th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
24th of January 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of January 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
11th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
10th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
9th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

National Fuel Forecast Models

National Fuel's time-series forecasting models are one of many National Fuel's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary National Fuel's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About National Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how National Fuel prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling National shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as National Fuel. By using and applying National Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying National entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin 0.10  0.14 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.48  0.55 

Current National Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
71.25Buy6Odds
National Fuel Gas current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National Fuel Gas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to National conference calls.
National Analyst Advice Details

National Stock Analysis Indicators

National Fuel Gas stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how National Fuel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading National Fuel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying National Fuel stock analysis, traders can identify National Fuel position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow55.4 M
Long Term Debt2.2 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity2.8 B
Tax Provision9.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.176
Property Plant And Equipment Net7.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments38.2 M
Cash38.2 M
Accounts Payable165.1 M
Net Debt2.7 B
50 Day M A63.2658
Total Current Liabilities1.1 B
Other Operating Expenses1.7 B
Non Current Assets TotalB
Forward Price Earnings12.1803
Non Currrent Assets Other537.5 M
Stock Based Compensation22.1 M

Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis

When running National Fuel's price analysis, check to measure National Fuel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Fuel is operating at the current time. Most of National Fuel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Fuel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Fuel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Fuel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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