Oberweis International Opportunities Fund Market Value

OBIIX Fund  USD 9.39  0.12  1.29%   
Oberweis International's market value is the price at which a share of Oberweis International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oberweis International Opportunities investors about its performance. Oberweis International is trading at 9.39 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 1.29 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oberweis International Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oberweis International over a given investment horizon. Check out Oberweis International Correlation, Oberweis International Volatility and Oberweis International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oberweis International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oberweis International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oberweis International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oberweis International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oberweis International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oberweis International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oberweis International.
0.00
06/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oberweis International on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oberweis International Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oberweis International over 180 days. Oberweis International is related to or competes with Oberweis China, Oberweis Emerging, Oberweis Emerging, Oberweis International, Oberweis Micro, Oberweis Small, and Oberweis Small. The fund invests normally at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of companies based outside the United Stat... More

Oberweis International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oberweis International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oberweis International Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oberweis International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oberweis International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oberweis International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oberweis International historical prices to predict the future Oberweis International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.609.3910.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.649.4310.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.629.4110.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.129.269.41
Details

Oberweis International Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Oberweis Mutual Fund to be very steady. Oberweis International maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.006, which implies the entity had a 0.006% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Oberweis International, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Oberweis International's Coefficient Of Variation of (4,426), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Variance of 0.7037 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0047%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.43, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Oberweis International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Oberweis International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.32  

Poor reverse predictability

Oberweis International Opportunities has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oberweis International time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oberweis International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Oberweis International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.32
Spearman Rank Test-0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Oberweis International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oberweis International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oberweis International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oberweis International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oberweis International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Oberweis International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oberweis International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oberweis International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oberweis International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Oberweis International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oberweis International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oberweis International mutual fund have on its future price. Oberweis International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oberweis International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oberweis International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oberweis International Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Oberweis Mutual Fund

Oberweis International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oberweis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oberweis with respect to the benefits of owning Oberweis International security.
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