Organto Foods Stock Market Value

OGOFF Stock  USD 0.07  0.01  18.75%   
Organto Foods' market value is the price at which a share of Organto Foods trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Organto Foods investors about its performance. Organto Foods is trading at 0.065 as of the 2nd of December 2024. This is a 18.75 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.065.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Organto Foods and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Organto Foods over a given investment horizon. Check out Organto Foods Correlation, Organto Foods Volatility and Organto Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Organto Foods.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Organto Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Organto Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Organto Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Organto Foods 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Organto Foods' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Organto Foods.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Organto Foods on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Organto Foods or generate 0.0% return on investment in Organto Foods over 720 days. Organto Foods is related to or competes with Calavo Growers, SpartanNash, Andersons, Chefs Warehouse, Hf Foods, Mission Produce, and AMCON Distributing. Organto Foods Inc. engages in the sourcing, processing, packaging, distribution, and marketing of organic and value-adde... More

Organto Foods Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Organto Foods' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Organto Foods upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Organto Foods Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Organto Foods' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Organto Foods' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Organto Foods historical prices to predict the future Organto Foods' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.072.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.062.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.062.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.080.1
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Organto Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Organto Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Organto Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Organto Foods.

Organto Foods Backtested Returns

Organto Foods maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0997, which implies the firm had a -0.0997% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Organto Foods exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Organto Foods' Coefficient Of Variation of (1,011), variance of 7.61, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.31, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Organto Foods are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Organto Foods is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Organto Foods has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to check Organto Foods' jensen alpha and the relationship between the skewness and price action indicator , to decide if Organto Foods performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Organto Foods has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Organto Foods time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Organto Foods price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Organto Foods price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Organto Foods lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Organto Foods pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Organto Foods' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Organto Foods returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Organto Foods has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Organto Foods regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Organto Foods pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Organto Foods pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Organto Foods pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Organto Foods Lagged Returns

When evaluating Organto Foods' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Organto Foods pink sheet have on its future price. Organto Foods autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Organto Foods autocorrelation shows the relationship between Organto Foods pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Organto Foods.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Organto Pink Sheet

Organto Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Organto Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Organto with respect to the benefits of owning Organto Foods security.