Invesco Active Allocation Fund Market Value

PAAJX Fund  USD 14.75  0.01  0.07%   
Invesco Active's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Active trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Active Allocation investors about its performance. Invesco Active is trading at 14.75 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.07% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.74.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Active Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Active over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Active Correlation, Invesco Active Volatility and Invesco Active Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Active.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Active's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Active is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Active's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Active 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Active's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Active.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Active on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Active Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Active over 30 days. Invesco Active is related to or competes with Rbc Ultra-short, Bbh Intermediate, Ms Global, Versatile Bond, Ambrus Core, Ab Global, and Icon Bond. The fund is a fund of funds, and invests its assets in other underlying mutual funds advised by the Adviser and exchange... More

Invesco Active Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Active's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Active Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Active Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Active's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Active's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Active historical prices to predict the future Invesco Active's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1614.7515.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0414.6315.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.0914.6815.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.1414.5114.88
Details

Invesco Active Allocation Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Invesco Mutual Fund to be very steady. Invesco Active Allocation holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.11, which attests that the entity had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Invesco Active Allocation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco Active's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0896, downside deviation of 0.636, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.077 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0666%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.65, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Active's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Active is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.89  

Very good predictability

Invesco Active Allocation has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Active time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Active Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current Invesco Active price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.89
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Invesco Active Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Active mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Active's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Active returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Active has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Active regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Active mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Active mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Active mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Active Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Active's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Active mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Active autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Active autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Active mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Active Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Active financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Active security.
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