Paccar Inc Stock Market Value
| PCAR Stock | USD 114.05 4.06 3.69% |
| Symbol | PACCAR |
PACCAR Inc Price To Book Ratio
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PACCAR. If investors know PACCAR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PACCAR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | Dividend Share 1.14 | Earnings Share 8.94 | Revenue Per Share 66.355 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of PACCAR Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PACCAR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PACCAR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PACCAR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PACCAR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PACCAR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PACCAR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PACCAR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PACCAR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
PACCAR 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PACCAR's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PACCAR.
| 10/22/2024 |
| 11/21/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PACCAR on October 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PACCAR Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in PACCAR over 30 days. PACCAR is related to or competes with Manitowoc, Terex, Wabash National, Alamo, AGCO, Oshkosh, and Hyster Yale. PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, ... More
PACCAR Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PACCAR's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PACCAR Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0778 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.1 |
PACCAR Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PACCAR's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PACCAR's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PACCAR historical prices to predict the future PACCAR's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1059 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.097 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.024 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0952 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1529 |
PACCAR Inc Backtested Returns
PACCAR appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. PACCAR Inc retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which implies the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for PACCAR, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please evaluate PACCAR's semi deviation of 1.24, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1629 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, PACCAR holds a performance score of 12. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.44, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PACCAR will likely underperform. Please check PACCAR's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether PACCAR's current price history will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.12 |
Insignificant predictability
PACCAR Inc has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PACCAR time series from 22nd of October 2024 to 6th of November 2024 and 6th of November 2024 to 21st of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PACCAR Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current PACCAR price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.12 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.35 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 5.1 |
PACCAR Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PACCAR stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PACCAR's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PACCAR returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PACCAR has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
PACCAR regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PACCAR stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PACCAR stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PACCAR stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
PACCAR Lagged Returns
When evaluating PACCAR's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PACCAR stock have on its future price. PACCAR autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PACCAR autocorrelation shows the relationship between PACCAR stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PACCAR Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with PACCAR
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if PACCAR position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PACCAR will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against PACCAR Stock
| 0.82 | NKLA | Nikola Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | LEV | Lion Electric Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | BLBD | Blue Bird Corp Fiscal Year End 9th of December 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | TWI | Titan International | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | ARTW | Arts Way Manufacturing | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to PACCAR could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace PACCAR when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back PACCAR - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling PACCAR Inc to buy it.
The correlation of PACCAR is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as PACCAR moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if PACCAR Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for PACCAR can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for PACCAR Stock Analysis
When running PACCAR's price analysis, check to measure PACCAR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PACCAR is operating at the current time. Most of PACCAR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PACCAR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PACCAR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PACCAR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.