Paccar Inc Stock Technical Analysis
| PCAR Stock | USD 120.81 1.30 1.06% |
As of the 27th of January, PACCAR owns the semi deviation of 0.7818, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.26. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check possible technical drivers of PACCAR Inc, as well as the relationship between them. Please check PACCAR Inc variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if PACCAR Inc is priced fairly, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 120.81 per share. Given that PACCAR Inc has jensen alpha of 0.2293, we recommend you to check out PACCAR's latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.
PACCAR Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as PACCAR, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to PACCARPACCAR's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.PACCAR Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 117.32 | Buy | 21 | Odds |
Most PACCAR analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand PACCAR stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of PACCAR Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to PACCAR conference calls.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PACCAR. If investors know PACCAR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PACCAR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Earnings Share 4.51 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets |
The market value of PACCAR Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PACCAR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PACCAR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PACCAR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PACCAR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PACCAR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PACCAR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PACCAR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PACCAR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
PACCAR 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PACCAR's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PACCAR.
| 10/29/2025 |
| 01/27/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PACCAR on October 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PACCAR Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in PACCAR over 90 days. PACCAR is related to or competes with Raytheon Technologies, Deere, Eaton PLC, Hyster Yale, AGCO, Astec Industries, and Rev. PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, ... More
PACCAR Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PACCAR's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PACCAR Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1522 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.68 |
PACCAR Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PACCAR's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PACCAR's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PACCAR historical prices to predict the future PACCAR's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1533 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2293 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1639 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.235 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.25 |
PACCAR January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1533 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.26 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7818 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 497.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.65 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1522 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2293 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1639 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.235 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.25 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6111 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.65) | |||
| Skewness | 1.03 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9028 |
PACCAR Inc Backtested Returns
PACCAR appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. PACCAR Inc retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.23, which implies the company had a 0.23 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for PACCAR, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please evaluate PACCAR's semi deviation of 0.7818, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.26 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, PACCAR holds a performance score of 18. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.27, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PACCAR will likely underperform. Please check PACCAR's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether PACCAR's current price history will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.87 |
Very good predictability
PACCAR Inc has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PACCAR time series from 29th of October 2025 to 13th of December 2025 and 13th of December 2025 to 27th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PACCAR Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current PACCAR price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.87 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.7 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 22.1 |
PACCAR technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
PACCAR Inc Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of PACCAR Inc volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About PACCAR Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of PACCAR Inc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of PACCAR Inc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on PACCAR Inc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding PACCAR Inc. By analyzing PACCAR's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of PACCAR's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to PACCAR specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0297 | 0.0419 | 0.0248 | 0.038 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.46 | 1.62 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
PACCAR January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of PACCAR help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PACCAR from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze PACCAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1533 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.26 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7818 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 497.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.65 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1522 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2293 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1639 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.235 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.25 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6111 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.65) | |||
| Skewness | 1.03 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9028 |
PACCAR January 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PACCAR stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 212,515 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.26) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 118.97 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 119.58 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.19 |
Additional Tools for PACCAR Stock Analysis
When running PACCAR's price analysis, check to measure PACCAR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PACCAR is operating at the current time. Most of PACCAR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PACCAR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PACCAR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PACCAR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.