Paccar Inc Stock Market Outlook
| PCAR Stock | USD 120.43 2.91 2.36% |
Slightly above 67% of PACCAR's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading PACCAR Inc stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. PACCAR's investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in PACCAR Inc. Many technical investors use PACCAR Inc stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.
Comfort Level 33
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use PACCAR's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward PACCAR Inc.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding PACCAR Inc is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell PACCAR Inc within the specified time frame.
Execute PACCAR Advice
The PACCAR recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PACCAR Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PACCAR Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PACCAR's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon PACCAR Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1313, Jensen Alpha of 0.2487, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2489, Sortino Ratio of 0.2065 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2122Macroaxis provides trade advice on PACCAR Inc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on PACCAR. Our advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure PACCAR Inc is not overpriced, please check all PACCAR Inc fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash per share, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that PACCAR Inc has a price to earning of 14.12 X, we recommend you to check out PACCAR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.
PACCAR Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 4th of March 2026 PACCAR paid $ 0.33 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Aurora Innovation Touts 250K Incident-Free Driverless Miles, Targets 200 Trucks in 2026 |
PACCAR Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of PACCAR's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PACCAR's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PACCAR daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PACCAR Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PACCAR returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for PACCAR.
| Mean Return | 0.26 | Value At Risk | -1.87 | Potential Upside | 3.08 | Standard Deviation | 1.59 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PACCAR historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
PACCAR Stock Institutional Investors
The PACCAR's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase PACCAR's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Capital Research Global Investors | 2025-09-30 | 6 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-09-30 | 5.4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-09-30 | 5.3 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-12-31 | 5.2 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2025-09-30 | 5.1 M | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2025-09-30 | 4.3 M | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2025-12-31 | 4 M | The Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-09-30 | 3.7 M | U.s. Bancorp | 2025-09-30 | 3.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-12-31 | 63.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-09-30 | 36 M |
PACCAR Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (610.3M) | (272.7M) | (350.7M) | 42.5M | 296.4M | 311.2M | |
| Change In Cash | (111.3M) | 1.3B | 2.5B | (120.9M) | (752.9M) | (715.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 553.9M | 1.6B | 2.9B | 2.9B | 3.0B | 3.2B | |
| Depreciation | 903.3M | 790.2M | 923.9M | 916.9M | 827.4M | 561.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (329.7M) | 207M | 50.5M | 61.1M | 160.7M | 168.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 708M | 1.0B | (1.5B) | (2.3B) | (2.3B) | (2.2B) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.6B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.7B | 1.4B | 1.0B | |
| Net Income | 1.9B | 3.0B | 4.6B | 4.2B | 2.4B | 1.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.4B | 4.7B | 7.2B | 7.1B | 6.3B | 6.6B | |
| Investments | (176.1M) | (2.0B) | (2.6B) | (4.5B) | (337.3M) | (354.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (592.5M) | 993M | (322.1M) | (1.4B) | (1.2B) | (1.2B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (210.9M) | 1.3B | 2.6B | 2.1B | (822.6M) | (781.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 77.1M | (136.2M) | (329.7M) | (227.7M) | (204.9M) | (194.7M) |
PACCAR Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PACCAR or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PACCAR's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PACCAR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
PACCAR Volatility Alert
PACCAR Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.36 and kurtosis of -0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PACCAR's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PACCAR's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.PACCAR Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing PACCAR's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PACCAR's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PACCAR and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PACCAR or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PACCAR's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PACCAR by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare PACCAR to competition |
| Fundamentals | PACCAR | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0437 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 71.79 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 525.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.93 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 75.36 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 12.1 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 14.12 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.41 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.23 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 28.44 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.98 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 4.2 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.38 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.76 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 13.70 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.64 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.81 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.31 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 36.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.42 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.48 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.41 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.34 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 125.08 | |
| Number Of Employees | 25.9 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.05 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 63.33 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 44.34 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 18.7 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 23.19 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 1736 shares by Kevin Baney of PACCAR subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
PACCAR Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PACCAR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0151 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.58) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 120.86 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 120.72 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.88) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.91) |
PACCAR Target Price Consensus
PACCAR target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. PACCAR's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 21 | Buy |
Most PACCAR analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand PACCAR stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of PACCAR Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationPACCAR Target Price Projection
PACCAR's current and average target prices are 120.43 and 125.08, respectively. The current price of PACCAR is the price at which PACCAR Inc is currently trading. On the other hand, PACCAR's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On PACCAR Target Price
PACCAR Analyst Ratings
PACCAR's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about PACCAR stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of PACCAR's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. PACCAR's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About PACCAR Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell PACCAR Inc? Buying financial instruments such as PACCAR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for PACCAR Stock Analysis
When running PACCAR's price analysis, check to measure PACCAR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PACCAR is operating at the current time. Most of PACCAR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PACCAR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PACCAR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PACCAR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.