Grard Perrier (France) Market Value

PERR Stock  EUR 88.00  1.20  1.35%   
Grard Perrier's market value is the price at which a share of Grard Perrier trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grard Perrier Industrie investors about its performance. Grard Perrier is trading at 88.00 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 1.35% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 89.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grard Perrier Industrie and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grard Perrier over a given investment horizon. Check out Grard Perrier Correlation, Grard Perrier Volatility and Grard Perrier Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grard Perrier.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grard Perrier's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grard Perrier is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grard Perrier's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grard Perrier 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grard Perrier's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grard Perrier.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grard Perrier on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grard Perrier Industrie or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grard Perrier over 720 days. Grard Perrier is related to or competes with Novatech Industries, Manitou BF, Ossiam Minimum, Ekinops SA, Orapi SA, and Memscap Regpt. Grard Perrier Industrie S.A. engages in designing, manufacturing, installing, and maintaining industrial electrical, ele... More

Grard Perrier Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grard Perrier's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grard Perrier Industrie upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grard Perrier Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grard Perrier's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grard Perrier's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grard Perrier historical prices to predict the future Grard Perrier's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.0089.2090.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.4471.6498.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.8987.0988.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
85.9989.1292.24
Details

Grard Perrier Industrie Backtested Returns

Grard Perrier Industrie holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0419, which attests that the entity had a -0.0419% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Grard Perrier Industrie exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grard Perrier's market risk adjusted performance of 0.2795, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.2, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Grard Perrier are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Grard Perrier is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Grard Perrier Industrie has a negative expected return of -0.0505%. Please make sure to check out Grard Perrier's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Grard Perrier Industrie performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Grard Perrier Industrie has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grard Perrier time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grard Perrier Industrie price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Grard Perrier price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance16.17

Grard Perrier Industrie lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grard Perrier stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grard Perrier's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grard Perrier returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grard Perrier has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grard Perrier regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grard Perrier stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grard Perrier stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grard Perrier stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grard Perrier Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grard Perrier's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grard Perrier stock have on its future price. Grard Perrier autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grard Perrier autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grard Perrier stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grard Perrier Industrie.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Grard Stock

Grard Perrier financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grard with respect to the benefits of owning Grard Perrier security.