Global Diversified Income Fund Market Value

PGBLX Fund  USD 11.90  0.01  0.08%   
Global Diversified's market value is the price at which a share of Global Diversified trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Diversified Income investors about its performance. Global Diversified is trading at 11.90 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.08% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Diversified Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Diversified over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Diversified Correlation, Global Diversified Volatility and Global Diversified Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Diversified.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Diversified's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Diversified is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Diversified's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Diversified 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Diversified's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Diversified.
0.00
09/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Diversified on September 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Diversified Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Diversified over 60 days. Global Diversified is related to or competes with Fidelity Advisor, Lord Abbett, Evaluator Conservative, Massmutual Premier, Jhancock Diversified, Delaware Limited, and Blackrock Conservative. The fund generally invests a majority of its assets in fixed income securities, such as investment-grade corporate bonds... More

Global Diversified Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Diversified's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Diversified Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Diversified Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Diversified's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Diversified's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Diversified historical prices to predict the future Global Diversified's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7311.9012.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6211.7911.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.7211.8812.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.8711.9111.95
Details

Global Diversified Income Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Global Mutual Fund to be very steady. Global Diversified Income holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0088, which attests that the entity had a 0.0088% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Global Diversified Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Global Diversified's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15), downside deviation of 0.2048, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0014%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0297, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Global Diversified's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Diversified is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.31  

Poor reverse predictability

Global Diversified Income has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Diversified time series from 23rd of September 2024 to 23rd of October 2024 and 23rd of October 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Diversified Income price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Global Diversified price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Global Diversified Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Diversified mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Diversified's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Diversified returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Diversified has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Diversified regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Diversified mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Diversified mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Diversified mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Diversified Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Diversified's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Diversified mutual fund have on its future price. Global Diversified autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Diversified autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Diversified mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Diversified Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Diversified financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Diversified security.
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