Polygiene (Sweden) Market Value

POLYG Stock  SEK 12.35  0.55  4.26%   
Polygiene's market value is the price at which a share of Polygiene trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Polygiene AB investors about its performance. Polygiene is selling for under 12.35 as of the 16th of February 2025; that is 4.26 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Polygiene AB and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Polygiene over a given investment horizon. Check out Polygiene Correlation, Polygiene Volatility and Polygiene Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Polygiene.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Polygiene's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Polygiene is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Polygiene's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Polygiene 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Polygiene's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Polygiene.
0.00
01/17/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Polygiene on January 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Polygiene AB or generate 0.0% return on investment in Polygiene over 30 days. Polygiene is related to or competes with G5 Entertainment, Nexam Chemical, Swedencare Publ, Genovis AB, and Bonesupport Holding. Polygiene AB develops, manufactures, and sells odor control solutions for clothes, sports equipment, textiles, and other... More

Polygiene Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Polygiene's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Polygiene AB upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Polygiene Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Polygiene's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Polygiene's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Polygiene historical prices to predict the future Polygiene's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3912.3515.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5712.5315.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Polygiene. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Polygiene's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Polygiene's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Polygiene AB.

Polygiene AB Backtested Returns

Currently, Polygiene AB is not too volatile. Polygiene AB maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0545, which implies the firm had a 0.0545 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Polygiene AB, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Polygiene's Coefficient Of Variation of 1288.24, semi deviation of 2.45, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.063 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. Polygiene has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.57, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Polygiene's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Polygiene is expected to be smaller as well. Polygiene AB right now holds a risk of 2.96%. Please check Polygiene AB expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Polygiene AB will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

Polygiene AB has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Polygiene time series from 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025 and 1st of February 2025 to 16th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Polygiene AB price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Polygiene price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Polygiene AB lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Polygiene stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Polygiene's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Polygiene returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Polygiene has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Polygiene regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Polygiene stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Polygiene stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Polygiene stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Polygiene Lagged Returns

When evaluating Polygiene's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Polygiene stock have on its future price. Polygiene autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Polygiene autocorrelation shows the relationship between Polygiene stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Polygiene AB.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Polygiene Stock Analysis

When running Polygiene's price analysis, check to measure Polygiene's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Polygiene is operating at the current time. Most of Polygiene's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Polygiene's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Polygiene's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Polygiene to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.