Ratch Group (Thailand) Market Value
| RATCH Stock | THB 31.00 0.25 0.80% |
| Symbol | Ratch |
Ratch Group 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ratch Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ratch Group.
| 08/29/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ratch Group on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ratch Group Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ratch Group over 90 days. Ratch Group is related to or competes with Electricity Generating, PTT Public, Advanced Info, Siam Cement, and TISCO Financial. Ratch Group Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, generates and sells electricity in Thailand, Australia, an... More
Ratch Group Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ratch Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ratch Group Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.75 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.31) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.52 |
Ratch Group Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ratch Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ratch Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ratch Group historical prices to predict the future Ratch Group's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0427 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1126 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.17) |
Ratch Group Public Backtested Returns
At this point, Ratch Group is very steady. Ratch Group Public maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0505, which implies the firm had a 0.0505% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Ratch Group Public, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Ratch Group's Semi Deviation of 1.29, risk adjusted performance of 0.0427, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2033.68 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0798%. Ratch Group has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.38, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ratch Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ratch Group is likely to outperform the market. Ratch Group Public right now holds a risk of 1.58%. Please check Ratch Group Public skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Ratch Group Public will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.72 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Ratch Group Public has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ratch Group time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ratch Group Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current Ratch Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.72 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.55 |
Ratch Group Public lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ratch Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ratch Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ratch Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ratch Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ratch Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ratch Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ratch Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ratch Group stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ratch Group Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ratch Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ratch Group stock have on its future price. Ratch Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ratch Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ratch Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ratch Group Public.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Ratch Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ratch Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ratch with respect to the benefits of owning Ratch Group security.