Aesapar Fundo (Brazil) Market Value

RBED11 Fund  BRL 111.61  1.61  1.46%   
Aesapar Fundo's market value is the price at which a share of Aesapar Fundo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aesapar Fundo de investors about its performance. Aesapar Fundo is trading at 111.61 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 1.46 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 110.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aesapar Fundo de and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aesapar Fundo over a given investment horizon. Check out Aesapar Fundo Correlation, Aesapar Fundo Volatility and Aesapar Fundo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aesapar Fundo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aesapar Fundo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aesapar Fundo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aesapar Fundo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aesapar Fundo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aesapar Fundo's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aesapar Fundo.
0.00
02/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 9 months and 23 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aesapar Fundo on February 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aesapar Fundo de or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aesapar Fundo over 660 days. Aesapar Fundo is related to or competes with BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, Companhia Habitasul, Procter Gamble, Telefonaktiebolaget, Cable One, and ATMA Participaes. Aesapar Fundo de Investimento Imobilirio - FII specializes in real estate investments More

Aesapar Fundo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aesapar Fundo's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aesapar Fundo de upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aesapar Fundo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aesapar Fundo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aesapar Fundo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aesapar Fundo historical prices to predict the future Aesapar Fundo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.17111.61113.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.41104.85122.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
114.26115.70117.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
104.34110.66116.99
Details

Aesapar Fundo de Backtested Returns

Aesapar Fundo de secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.21, which signifies that the fund had a -0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Aesapar Fundo de exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aesapar Fundo's Mean Deviation of 0.9367, standard deviation of 1.41, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0853, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aesapar Fundo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Aesapar Fundo is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.77  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Aesapar Fundo de has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aesapar Fundo time series from 4th of February 2023 to 31st of December 2023 and 31st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aesapar Fundo de price movement. The serial correlation of -0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current Aesapar Fundo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.77
Spearman Rank Test-0.92
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance90.43

Aesapar Fundo de lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aesapar Fundo fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aesapar Fundo's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aesapar Fundo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aesapar Fundo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aesapar Fundo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aesapar Fundo fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aesapar Fundo fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aesapar Fundo fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aesapar Fundo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aesapar Fundo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aesapar Fundo fund have on its future price. Aesapar Fundo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aesapar Fundo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aesapar Fundo fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aesapar Fundo de.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aesapar Fund

Aesapar Fundo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aesapar Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aesapar with respect to the benefits of owning Aesapar Fundo security.
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