Royal Caribbean Cruises Stock Market Value
| RCL Stock | USD 348.03 0.03 0.01% |
| Symbol | Royal |
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Royal Caribbean. Anticipated expansion of Royal directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Royal Caribbean assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.37 | Dividend Share 3.5 | Earnings Share 15.63 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.132 |
Understanding Royal Caribbean Cruises requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Royal's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Royal Caribbean's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Royal Caribbean's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Royal Caribbean's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Royal Caribbean should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Royal Caribbean's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Royal Caribbean 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Royal Caribbean's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Royal Caribbean.
| 11/12/2025 |
| 02/10/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Royal Caribbean on November 12, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Royal Caribbean Cruises or generate 0.0% return on investment in Royal Caribbean over 90 days. Royal Caribbean is related to or competes with Airbnb, Marriott International, OReilly Automotive, Trip Group, Ferrari NV, GM, and Carvana. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. operates as a cruise company worldwide More
Royal Caribbean Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Royal Caribbean's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Royal Caribbean Cruises upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1221 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.81 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.28 |
Royal Caribbean Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Royal Caribbean's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Royal Caribbean's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Royal Caribbean historical prices to predict the future Royal Caribbean's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1285 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3339 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1296 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1917 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2569 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Royal Caribbean's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Royal Caribbean February 10, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1285 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2669 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 663.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.44 | |||
| Variance | 11.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1221 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3339 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1296 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1917 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2569 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.81 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.82) | |||
| Skewness | 2.4 | |||
| Kurtosis | 11.0 |
Royal Caribbean Cruises Backtested Returns
Royal Caribbean appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Royal Caribbean Cruises maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.15, which implies the firm had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Royal Caribbean's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.53% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Royal Caribbean's Semi Deviation of 1.85, risk adjusted performance of 0.1285, and Coefficient Of Variation of 663.69 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Royal Caribbean holds a performance score of 11. The company holds a Beta of 1.98, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Royal Caribbean will likely underperform. Please check Royal Caribbean's maximum drawdown, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the Expected Short fall and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Royal Caribbean's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.78 |
Good predictability
Royal Caribbean Cruises has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Royal Caribbean time series from 12th of November 2025 to 27th of December 2025 and 27th of December 2025 to 10th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Royal Caribbean Cruises price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Royal Caribbean price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 556.21 |
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Royal Caribbean technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.