Tax Exempt Bond Fund Market Value

RTECX Fund  USD 21.96  0.01  0.05%   
Tax-exempt Bond's market value is the price at which a share of Tax-exempt Bond trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tax Exempt Bond Fund investors about its performance. Tax-exempt Bond is trading at 21.96 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.05 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 21.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tax Exempt Bond Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tax-exempt Bond over a given investment horizon. Check out Tax-exempt Bond Correlation, Tax-exempt Bond Volatility and Tax-exempt Bond Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tax-exempt Bond.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tax-exempt Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tax-exempt Bond is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tax-exempt Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tax-exempt Bond 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tax-exempt Bond's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tax-exempt Bond.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tax-exempt Bond on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tax Exempt Bond Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tax-exempt Bond over 30 days. Tax-exempt Bond is related to or competes with Vanguard Intermediate-ter, Vanguard Intermediate-ter, Tax Exempt, Tax Exempt, Tax Exempt, Tax Exempt, and Tax Exempt. The fund has a fundamental policy to invest, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the value of its net ass... More

Tax-exempt Bond Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tax-exempt Bond's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tax Exempt Bond Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tax-exempt Bond Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tax-exempt Bond's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tax-exempt Bond's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tax-exempt Bond historical prices to predict the future Tax-exempt Bond's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tax-exempt Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7821.9622.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.7821.9622.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.8121.9922.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.9421.9521.96
Details

Tax Exempt Bond Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Tax-exempt Mutual Fund to be very steady. Tax Exempt Bond owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0049, which indicates the fund had a 0.0049% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Tax Exempt Bond Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Tax-exempt Bond's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), semi deviation of 0.1791, and Coefficient Of Variation of 11299.86 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 9.0E-4%. The entity has a beta of 0.0301, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Tax-exempt Bond's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tax-exempt Bond is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.35  

Poor reverse predictability

Tax Exempt Bond Fund has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tax-exempt Bond time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tax Exempt Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Tax-exempt Bond price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.35
Spearman Rank Test-0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Tax Exempt Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tax-exempt Bond mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tax-exempt Bond's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tax-exempt Bond returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tax-exempt Bond has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tax-exempt Bond regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tax-exempt Bond mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tax-exempt Bond mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tax-exempt Bond mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tax-exempt Bond Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tax-exempt Bond's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tax-exempt Bond mutual fund have on its future price. Tax-exempt Bond autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tax-exempt Bond autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tax-exempt Bond mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tax Exempt Bond Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tax-exempt Mutual Fund

Tax-exempt Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tax-exempt Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tax-exempt with respect to the benefits of owning Tax-exempt Bond security.
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