Virgin Galactic Holdings Stock Market Value
| SPCE Stock | USD 2.71 0.03 1.12% |
| Symbol | Virgin |
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could Virgin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virgin Galactic. If investors know Virgin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Virgin Galactic data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (6.84) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Virgin Galactic Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Virgin's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Virgin Galactic's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Virgin Galactic's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virgin Galactic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virgin Galactic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Virgin Galactic's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Virgin Galactic 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Virgin Galactic's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Virgin Galactic.
| 11/05/2025 |
| 02/03/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Virgin Galactic on November 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Virgin Galactic Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Virgin Galactic over 90 days. Virgin Galactic is related to or competes with Ammo, Novonix, VisionWave Holdings, PAMT P, Proficient Auto, Franklin Covey, and Innovative Solutions. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technolo... More
Virgin Galactic Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Virgin Galactic's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Virgin Galactic Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.0 |
Virgin Galactic Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Virgin Galactic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Virgin Galactic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Virgin Galactic historical prices to predict the future Virgin Galactic's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.60) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.82) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.31) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virgin Galactic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Virgin Galactic February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.30) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (921.42) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.72 | |||
| Variance | 22.29 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.60) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.82) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.31) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.0 | |||
| Skewness | (0.16) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.27 |
Virgin Galactic Holdings Backtested Returns
Virgin Galactic Holdings owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0832, which indicates the firm had a -0.0832 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Virgin Galactic Holdings exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Virgin Galactic's Coefficient Of Variation of (921.42), variance of 22.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 1.69, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Virgin Galactic will likely underperform. At this point, Virgin Galactic Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to validate Virgin Galactic's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Virgin Galactic Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.12 |
Insignificant predictability
Virgin Galactic Holdings has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Virgin Galactic time series from 5th of November 2025 to 20th of December 2025 and 20th of December 2025 to 3rd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Virgin Galactic Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Virgin Galactic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.12 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Virgin Galactic Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Virgin Galactic's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Virgin Galactic's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Virgin Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Virgin Galactic Correlation, Virgin Galactic Volatility and Virgin Galactic Performance module to complement your research on Virgin Galactic. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Virgin Galactic technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.