Special Opportunities Closed Fund Market Value

SPE Fund  USD 15.42  0.24  1.58%   
Special Opportunities' market value is the price at which a share of Special Opportunities trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Special Opportunities Closed investors about its performance. Special Opportunities is trading at 15.42 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 1.58 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 15.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Special Opportunities Closed and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Special Opportunities over a given investment horizon. Check out Special Opportunities Correlation, Special Opportunities Volatility and Special Opportunities Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Special Opportunities.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Special Opportunities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Special Opportunities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Special Opportunities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Special Opportunities 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Special Opportunities' fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Special Opportunities.
0.00
06/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Special Opportunities on June 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Special Opportunities Closed or generate 0.0% return on investment in Special Opportunities over 180 days. Special Opportunities is related to or competes with Aberdeen Income, Putnam High, Cornerstone Strategic, Guggenheim Strategic, Pimco Dynamic, Cornerstone Strategic, and RiverNorthDoubleLine. Special Opportunities Fund, Inc. is a close-ended balanced fund of funds launched and managed by Bulldog Investors, LLC More

Special Opportunities Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Special Opportunities' fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Special Opportunities Closed upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Special Opportunities Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Special Opportunities' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Special Opportunities' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Special Opportunities historical prices to predict the future Special Opportunities' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6915.4116.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.8816.4817.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7015.4216.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6615.0815.51
Details

Special Opportunities Backtested Returns

Special Opportunities appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Special Opportunities owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.31, which indicates the fund had a 0.31% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Special Opportunities Closed, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Special Opportunities' Coefficient Of Variation of 334.34, semi deviation of 0.25, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2283 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 0.38, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Special Opportunities' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Special Opportunities is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.75  

Good predictability

Special Opportunities Closed has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Special Opportunities time series from 4th of June 2024 to 2nd of September 2024 and 2nd of September 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Special Opportunities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Special Opportunities price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.75
Spearman Rank Test0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.36

Special Opportunities lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Special Opportunities fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Special Opportunities' fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Special Opportunities returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Special Opportunities has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Special Opportunities regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Special Opportunities fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Special Opportunities fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Special Opportunities fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Special Opportunities Lagged Returns

When evaluating Special Opportunities' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Special Opportunities fund have on its future price. Special Opportunities autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Special Opportunities autocorrelation shows the relationship between Special Opportunities fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Special Opportunities Closed.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Special Fund

Special Opportunities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Special Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Special with respect to the benefits of owning Special Opportunities security.
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