Scandinavian Tobacco Group Stock Market Value

STBGY Stock  USD 7.16  0.40  5.29%   
Scandinavian Tobacco's market value is the price at which a share of Scandinavian Tobacco trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Scandinavian Tobacco Group investors about its performance. Scandinavian Tobacco is trading at 7.16 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 5.29 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 7.56.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Scandinavian Tobacco Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Scandinavian Tobacco over a given investment horizon. Check out Scandinavian Tobacco Correlation, Scandinavian Tobacco Volatility and Scandinavian Tobacco Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Scandinavian Tobacco.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Scandinavian Tobacco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scandinavian Tobacco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scandinavian Tobacco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Scandinavian Tobacco 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Scandinavian Tobacco's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Scandinavian Tobacco.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Scandinavian Tobacco on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Scandinavian Tobacco Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Scandinavian Tobacco over 30 days. Scandinavian Tobacco is related to or competes with British American, Imperial Brands, RLX Technology, British Amer, Turning Point, Imperial Brands, and Universal. More

Scandinavian Tobacco Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Scandinavian Tobacco's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Scandinavian Tobacco Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Scandinavian Tobacco Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Scandinavian Tobacco's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Scandinavian Tobacco's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Scandinavian Tobacco historical prices to predict the future Scandinavian Tobacco's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.257.168.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.427.338.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.026.937.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.137.578.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Scandinavian Tobacco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Scandinavian Tobacco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Scandinavian Tobacco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Scandinavian Tobacco.

Scandinavian Tobacco Backtested Returns

Scandinavian Tobacco owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.076, which indicates the firm had a -0.076% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Scandinavian Tobacco Group exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Scandinavian Tobacco's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,347), variance of 0.7975, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.029, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Scandinavian Tobacco's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Scandinavian Tobacco is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Scandinavian Tobacco has a negative expected return of -0.0695%. Please make sure to validate Scandinavian Tobacco's mean deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the Total Risk Alpha and day typical price , to decide if Scandinavian Tobacco performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Scandinavian Tobacco Group has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Scandinavian Tobacco time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Scandinavian Tobacco price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Scandinavian Tobacco price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Scandinavian Tobacco lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Scandinavian Tobacco pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Scandinavian Tobacco's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Scandinavian Tobacco returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Scandinavian Tobacco has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Scandinavian Tobacco regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Scandinavian Tobacco pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Scandinavian Tobacco pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Scandinavian Tobacco pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Scandinavian Tobacco Lagged Returns

When evaluating Scandinavian Tobacco's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Scandinavian Tobacco pink sheet have on its future price. Scandinavian Tobacco autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Scandinavian Tobacco autocorrelation shows the relationship between Scandinavian Tobacco pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Scandinavian Tobacco Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Scandinavian Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Scandinavian Tobacco's price analysis, check to measure Scandinavian Tobacco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scandinavian Tobacco is operating at the current time. Most of Scandinavian Tobacco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scandinavian Tobacco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scandinavian Tobacco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scandinavian Tobacco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.