Schwab California Tax Free Fund Market Value

SWCAX Fund  USD 11.15  0.02  0.18%   
Schwab California's market value is the price at which a share of Schwab California trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Schwab California Tax Free investors about its performance. Schwab California is trading at 11.15 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.18 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Schwab California Tax Free and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Schwab California over a given investment horizon. Check out Schwab California Correlation, Schwab California Volatility and Schwab California Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Schwab California.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Schwab California's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Schwab California is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Schwab California's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Schwab California 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Schwab California's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Schwab California.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Schwab California on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Schwab California Tax Free or generate 0.0% return on investment in Schwab California over 30 days. Schwab California is related to or competes with Tfa Alphagen, Growth Fund, Champlain Mid, T Rowe, L Abbett, and Smallcap Growth. To pursue its goal, the fund primarily invests in investment-grade municipal securities - those in the four highest cred... More

Schwab California Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Schwab California's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Schwab California Tax Free upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Schwab California Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Schwab California's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Schwab California's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Schwab California historical prices to predict the future Schwab California's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9611.1511.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5610.7512.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9611.1511.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.0811.1211.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Schwab California. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Schwab California's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Schwab California's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Schwab California Tax.

Schwab California Tax Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Schwab Mutual Fund to be very steady. Schwab California Tax owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0593, which indicates the fund had a 0.0593% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Schwab California Tax Free, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Schwab California's Coefficient Of Variation of 2283.01, semi deviation of 0.1574, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0034 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0114%. The entity has a beta of -0.0742, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Schwab California are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Schwab California is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Schwab California Tax Free has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Schwab California time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Schwab California Tax price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Schwab California price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Schwab California Tax lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Schwab California mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Schwab California's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Schwab California returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Schwab California has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Schwab California regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Schwab California mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Schwab California mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Schwab California mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Schwab California Lagged Returns

When evaluating Schwab California's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Schwab California mutual fund have on its future price. Schwab California autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Schwab California autocorrelation shows the relationship between Schwab California mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Schwab California Tax Free.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Schwab Mutual Fund

Schwab California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schwab Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schwab with respect to the benefits of owning Schwab California security.
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