Telefonica Sa Adr Stock Market Value

TEF Stock  USD 4.28  0.06  1.38%   
Telefonica's market value is the price at which a share of Telefonica trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Telefonica SA ADR investors about its performance. Telefonica is trading at 4.28 as of the 16th of February 2025. This is a 1.38% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Telefonica SA ADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Telefonica over a given investment horizon. Check out Telefonica Correlation, Telefonica Volatility and Telefonica Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Telefonica.
Symbol

Telefonica SA ADR Price To Book Ratio

Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telefonica. If investors know Telefonica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Telefonica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Dividend Share
0.15
Earnings Share
(0.26)
Revenue Per Share
7.195
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Telefonica SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Telefonica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Telefonica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Telefonica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Telefonica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Telefonica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telefonica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telefonica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Telefonica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Telefonica 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Telefonica's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Telefonica.
0.00
01/17/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Telefonica on January 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Telefonica SA ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Telefonica over 30 days. Telefonica is related to or competes with SK Telecom, America Movil, KT, Telefonica Brasil, Vodafone Group, Verizon Communications, and Lumen Technologies. Telefnica, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Europe and Latin America More

Telefonica Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Telefonica's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Telefonica SA ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Telefonica Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Telefonica's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Telefonica's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Telefonica historical prices to predict the future Telefonica's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telefonica's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.244.285.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.434.475.51
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.304.725.24
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details

Telefonica SA ADR Backtested Returns

Telefonica SA ADR owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0131, which indicates the firm had a -0.0131 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Telefonica SA ADR exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Telefonica's Coefficient Of Variation of (167,703), variance of 1.3, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0034 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.39, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Telefonica's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Telefonica is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Telefonica SA ADR has a negative expected return of -0.0137%. Please make sure to validate Telefonica's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if Telefonica SA ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.59  

Modest predictability

Telefonica SA ADR has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Telefonica time series from 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025 and 1st of February 2025 to 16th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Telefonica SA ADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Telefonica price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.59
Spearman Rank Test0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Telefonica SA ADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Telefonica stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Telefonica's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Telefonica returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Telefonica has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Telefonica regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Telefonica stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Telefonica stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Telefonica stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Telefonica Lagged Returns

When evaluating Telefonica's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Telefonica stock have on its future price. Telefonica autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Telefonica autocorrelation shows the relationship between Telefonica stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Telefonica SA ADR.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Telefonica SA ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze Telefonica's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Telefonica's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Telefonica Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Telefonica Correlation, Telefonica Volatility and Telefonica Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Telefonica.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Telefonica technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Telefonica technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Telefonica trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...