Telefonica Sa Adr Stock Technical Analysis
| TEF Stock | USD 4.30 0.19 4.23% |
As of the 3rd of March, Telefonica has the Semi Deviation of 1.29, coefficient of variation of 881.61, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0923. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Telefonica SA ADR, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Telefonica SA ADR treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if Telefonica is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 4.3 per share. Given that Telefonica SA ADR has jensen alpha of 0.199, we advise you to double-check Telefonica SA ADR's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Telefonica Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Telefonica, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TelefonicaTelefonica | Build AI portfolio with Telefonica Stock |
Telefonica Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 4.16 | Hold | 2 | Odds |
Most Telefonica analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Telefonica stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Telefonica SA ADR, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Telefonica conference calls.
Can Diversified Telecommunication Services industry sustain growth momentum? Does Telefonica have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telefonica. If investors know Telefonica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Telefonica demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 26.6 | Dividend Share 0.15 | Earnings Share (0.22) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Investors evaluate Telefonica SA ADR using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Telefonica's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Telefonica's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telefonica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telefonica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Telefonica's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Telefonica 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Telefonica's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Telefonica.
| 12/03/2025 |
| 03/03/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Telefonica on December 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Telefonica SA ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Telefonica over 90 days. Telefonica is related to or competes with Rogers Communications, Telus Corp, BCE, TIM Participacoes, Pinterest, and Vodafone Group. Telefnica, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Europe and Latin America More
Telefonica Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Telefonica's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Telefonica SA ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0659 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.07 |
Telefonica Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Telefonica's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Telefonica's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Telefonica historical prices to predict the future Telefonica's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0923 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.199 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0251 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0712 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.82) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telefonica's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Telefonica March 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0923 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.81) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 881.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.9 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0659 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.199 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0251 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0712 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.82) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.39) | |||
| Skewness | 1.0 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.37 |
Telefonica SA ADR Backtested Returns
Telefonica appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Telefonica SA ADR owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the firm had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Telefonica SA ADR, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Telefonica's Coefficient Of Variation of 881.61, semi deviation of 1.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0923 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Telefonica holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of -0.22, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Telefonica are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Telefonica is likely to outperform the market. Please check Telefonica's treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Telefonica's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.41 |
Modest reverse predictability
Telefonica SA ADR has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Telefonica time series from 3rd of December 2025 to 17th of January 2026 and 17th of January 2026 to 3rd of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Telefonica SA ADR price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Telefonica price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.41 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.53 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Telefonica technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Telefonica SA ADR Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Telefonica SA ADR across different markets.
About Telefonica Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Telefonica SA ADR on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Telefonica SA ADR based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Telefonica SA ADR price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Telefonica SA ADR. By analyzing Telefonica's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Telefonica's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Telefonica specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0791 | 0.0991 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.54 | 0.53 |
Telefonica March 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Telefonica help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telefonica from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Telefonica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0923 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.81) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 881.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.9 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0659 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.199 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0251 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0712 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.82) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.39) | |||
| Skewness | 1.0 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.37 |
Telefonica March 3, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Telefonica stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.06 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.66) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | ||
| Day Median Price | 4.40 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 4.37 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.29 |
Complementary Tools for Telefonica Stock analysis
When running Telefonica's price analysis, check to measure Telefonica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telefonica is operating at the current time. Most of Telefonica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telefonica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telefonica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telefonica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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