Telefonica Sa Adr Stock Performance

TEF Stock  USD 4.36  0.04  0.93%   
Telefonica has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.29, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Telefonica are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Telefonica is likely to outperform the market. Telefonica SA ADR right now has a risk of 1.65%. Please validate Telefonica treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Telefonica will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Telefonica SA ADR are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Telefonica may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

Five Day Return
(7.75)
Year To Date Return
(4.75)
Ten Year Return
(62.68)
All Time Return
89.55
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0915
Payout Ratio
0.0254
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.35
Dividend Date
2026-01-09
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5
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6
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Telefonica dividend paid on 9th of January 2026
01/09/2026
7
Millicom Successfully Concludes Tender Offer for Telefnicas Controlling Stake in Colombia Telecomunicaciones S.A. E.S.P.
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow7.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.2 B

Telefonica Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  410.00  in Telefonica SA ADR on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  26.00  from holding Telefonica SA ADR or generate 6.34% return on investment over 90 days. Telefonica SA ADR is generating 0.1141% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.6482% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Telefonica, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Telefonica is expected to generate 2.14 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Telefonica Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Telefonica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.36 90 days 4.36 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telefonica to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Telefonica SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Telefonica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Telefonica SA ADR has a beta of -0.29. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Telefonica are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Telefonica SA ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Telefonica SA ADR has an alpha of 0.1594, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Telefonica Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Telefonica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telefonica SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telefonica's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.714.366.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.193.845.49
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.784.164.61
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.140.06
Details

Telefonica Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telefonica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telefonica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telefonica SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telefonica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Telefonica Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telefonica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telefonica SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Telefonica SA ADR has 45.02 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.55, which is OK given its current industry classification. Telefonica SA ADR has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Telefonica to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 41.31 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (49 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 22.7 B.
Telefonica SA ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 9th of January 2026 Telefonica paid $ 0.1732 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Millicom Successfully Concludes Tender Offer for Telefnicas Controlling Stake in Colombia Telecomunicaciones S.A. E.S.P.

Telefonica Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telefonica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telefonica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telefonica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments9.3 B

Telefonica Fundamentals Growth

Telefonica Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Telefonica, and Telefonica fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Telefonica Stock performance.

About Telefonica Performance

By analyzing Telefonica's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Telefonica's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Telefonica has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Telefonica has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 24.96  21.78 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 

Things to note about Telefonica SA ADR performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Telefonica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Telefonica SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Telefonica SA ADR has 45.02 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.55, which is OK given its current industry classification. Telefonica SA ADR has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Telefonica to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 41.31 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (49 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 22.7 B.
Telefonica SA ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 9th of January 2026 Telefonica paid $ 0.1732 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Millicom Successfully Concludes Tender Offer for Telefnicas Controlling Stake in Colombia Telecomunicaciones S.A. E.S.P.
Evaluating Telefonica's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Telefonica's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Telefonica's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Telefonica's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Telefonica's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Telefonica's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Telefonica's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Telefonica's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Telefonica's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Telefonica's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Telefonica's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Telefonica Stock analysis

When running Telefonica's price analysis, check to measure Telefonica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telefonica is operating at the current time. Most of Telefonica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telefonica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telefonica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telefonica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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