Toast Inc Stock Market Value

TOST Stock  USD 29.38  1.07  3.78%   
Historical price data for Toast is used as input. The analysis reflects a consistent holding position. Toast holds a current price of $29.38 as of May 7, 2026, delivering a 3.78% increase on the day.
Research on Toast can be supplemented through Toast Correlation, Toast Volatility and Toast Performance.
Symbol

 Quarterly Earnings Growth
228.2%
 Earnings Share
0.56
 Revenue Per Share
10.57
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
22.0%
 Return On Assets
11.0%
Toast's market capitalization and book value each provide useful but distinct information about the business. Toast's market capitalization is 16.54 billion. At P/B 8.03, Toast trades at a significant premium to book value. Enterprise value (TTM) stands at 15.08 billion. Intrinsic value for Toast synthesizes operating data into a single estimate that complements price and book value.
Value and price for Toast may converge over time but can differ substantially in any given period. For Toast, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 8.03, a profit margin of 5.84%, ROE of 17.0%, and revenue of 6.15 billion.

What-If Analysis

Historical what-if analysis for Toast Inc is useful because it converts abstract timing questions into a structured review of past performance under changing entry and holding periods. Enterprise value (TTM) is near 15.08 billion and annual revenue is around 6.15 billion. The point is not to predict the future from one chart, but to understand how sensitive the trade has been to timing and holding assumptions.
0.00
02/06/2026
 
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
 
05/07/2026
0.00
A  0.00  entry into Toast on February 6, 2026 held to the present would record 0.00 in aggregate return. The outcome is a 0.0% return on investment in Toast for the period over the 90 day interval. Toast is related to or competes with Check Point, Nutanix, Godaddy, VeriSign, Corpay, Tyler Technologies, and SSC Technologies. Toast, Inc. operates a cloud-based and digital technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States and ... More

Upside and Downside Indicators for Toast Summary

Upside and downside measures for Toast frame directional pressure and range behavior. Upside potential is measured relative to recent highs; downside exposure is framed against recent lows.

Toast Market Risk Indicators Snapshot

Return variability and drawdown behavior for Toast are summarized through these risk indicators. Standard deviation of returns over multiple windows measures the magnitude of typical price swings.
The mean reversion principle applied to Toast's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of Toast's price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
25.5228.3531.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
25.4932.4035.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.1726.0128.84
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.0936.3640.36
Details
Competitive analysis for Toast compares its financial performance and valuation metrics against sector peers. Cross-sectional comparison separates idiosyncratic performance from sector-level dynamics.

Technical Indicators

Toast Inc Backtested Returns

Toast posts a very low volatility profile during the defined timeframe. It has a Sharpe Ratio of 0.0257, which indicates that 0.0257 units of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We identified twenty-three technical indicators supporting this volatility profile. Please review metrics such as Coefficient Of Variation of -2,729, risk-adjusted performance of -0.03, and Variance of 9.7 to examine volatility dispersion. Toast has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Market Sensitivity (Beta) of 1.13, which indicates elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. Returns on Toast closely shadow the broad market, offering near-index exposure without significant amplification or dampening. Toast Inc now secures a risk of 2.83%.
Auto-correlation
    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Toast Inc exhibits modest predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between Toast time series from 6th of February 2026 to 23rd of March 2026 and from 23rd of March 2026 to 7th of May 2026. Persistent correlation between intervals suggests underlying momentum patterns in Toast that may carry forward. The measured coefficient of 0.54 means about 54.0% of Toast's recent price variance traces back to prior period behavior.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.64

Thematic Opportunities

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Thematic investing groups equities by the structural trends most likely to drive their earnings — shifts in technology adoption, regulatory change, demographic patterns, or supply-chain realignment. Screening by theme rather than sector can surface positions that traditional classification systems overlook. Risk-adjusted returns improve when thematic exposure is combined with portfolio-level constraints such as position limits, correlation targets, and sector caps.
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Additional Tools for Toast Stock Analysis