Toast Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TOST Stock  USD 43.00  0.26  0.61%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Toast Inc is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Toast Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Toast. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Toast Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Toast Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Toast and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Toast Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Toast Buy or Sell Advice

The Toast recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Toast Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Toast Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Toast's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ToastBuy Toast
Strong Buy

Market Performance

StrongDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Toast Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.268, Jensen Alpha of 0.7693, Total Risk Alpha of 0.4962, Sortino Ratio of 0.3647 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6885
Toast Inc recommendation module can be used to check and cross-verify current trade recommendation provided by analysts inspecting the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Toast Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Toast fundamentals, including its net income, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and book value per share . Given that Toast Inc has a number of shares shorted of 31.73 M, we advise you to double-check Toast Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Toast Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (246 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 516 M.
Toast Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Toast, Inc. director Kent Bennett sells shares worth 960,254

Toast Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Toast's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Toast's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Toast daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Toast Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Toast returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Toast.
Mean Return
0.94
Value At Risk
-3.38
Potential Upside
4.36
Standard Deviation
2.77
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Toast historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Toast Stock Institutional Investors

The Toast's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Toast's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
7.9 M
Whale Rock Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
7.4 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
6.9 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
6.8 M
Champlain Investment Partners, Llc2024-09-30
6.6 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
6.5 M
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc2024-09-30
6.1 M
Nikko Asset Management Americas Inc2024-06-30
5.7 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
5.7 M
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32024-09-30
41.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
38.3 M
Note, although Toast's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Toast Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Toast or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Toast's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Toast stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.77
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.36
σ
Overall volatility
2.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.29

Toast Volatility Alert

Toast Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.29 and Jensen Alpha of 0.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Toast's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Toast's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Toast Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Toast's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Toast's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Toast and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Toast or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Toast's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toast by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Toast to competition
FundamentalsToastPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0382-0.31
Return On Asset-0.008-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation23.04 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding471 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.68 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.24 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted31.73 M4.71 M
Price To Book17.10 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.21 X11.42 X
Revenue3.87 B9.43 B
Gross Profit516 M27.38 B
EBITDA(255 M)3.9 B
Net Income(246 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.18 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.28 X5.01 X
Total Debt44 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.08 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.51 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations135 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.48 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.09) X3.12 X
Target Price38.41
Number Of Employees5.5 K18.84 K
Beta1.75-0.15
Market Capitalization24.28 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.96 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.62 B)9.33 B
Working Capital907 M1.48 B
Net Asset1.96 B
Note: Disposition of 5255 shares by Chris Comparato of Toast at 43.112 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Toast Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Toast . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Toast Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Toast Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Toast Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Toast in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Services Thematic Idea Now

Services
Services Theme
Companies involved in delivering services to business or consumers across different industries and sectors. The Services theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Services Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Toast Stock Analysis

When running Toast's price analysis, check to measure Toast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toast is operating at the current time. Most of Toast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.