Tri County Financial Group Stock Market Value
| TYFG Stock | USD 44.30 0.20 0.45% |
| Symbol | Tri-County |
Tri-County Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tri-County Financial's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tri-County Financial.
| 01/01/2025 |
| 01/31/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Tri-County Financial on January 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tri County Financial Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tri-County Financial over 30 days. Tri-County Financial is related to or competes with First Hawaiian, Central Pacific, Territorial Bancorp, Comerica, Bank of Hawaii, Lloyds Banking, and Zions Bancorporation. Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for First State Bank that provides various banking p... More
Tri-County Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tri-County Financial's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tri County Financial Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.15 |
Tri-County Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tri-County Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tri-County Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tri-County Financial historical prices to predict the future Tri-County Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0766 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0736 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.69) |
Tri County Financial Backtested Returns
At this point, Tri-County Financial is very steady. Tri County Financial owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the firm had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Tri County Financial Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Tri-County Financial's Coefficient Of Variation of 1087.25, risk adjusted performance of 0.0766, and Semi Deviation of 0.6713 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. Tri-County Financial has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.0946, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Tri-County Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Tri-County Financial is likely to outperform the market. Tri County Financial right now has a risk of 0.78%. Please validate Tri-County Financial potential upside, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to decide if Tri-County Financial will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.9 |
Excellent reverse predictability
Tri County Financial Group has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tri-County Financial time series from 1st of January 2025 to 16th of January 2025 and 16th of January 2025 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tri County Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current Tri-County Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.9 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.88 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Tri County Financial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Tri-County Financial otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tri-County Financial's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tri-County Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tri-County Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Tri-County Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tri-County Financial otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tri-County Financial otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tri-County Financial otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Tri-County Financial Lagged Returns
When evaluating Tri-County Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tri-County Financial otc stock have on its future price. Tri-County Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tri-County Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tri-County Financial otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tri County Financial Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Tri-County OTC Stock
Tri-County Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tri-County OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tri-County with respect to the benefits of owning Tri-County Financial security.