Tri County Financial Group Stock Performance

TYFG Stock  USD 50.10  0.60  1.21%   
Tri-County Financial has a performance score of 14 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.0096, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Tri-County Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tri-County Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Tri County Financial right now has a risk of 0.5%. Please validate Tri-County Financial sortino ratio, skewness, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Tri-County Financial will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tri County Financial Group are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Tri-County Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow110 M
Price Earnings Ratio10.0321
Free Cash Flow56.7 M
  

Tri-County Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,750  in Tri County Financial Group on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  260.00  from holding Tri County Financial Group or generate 5.47% return on investment over 90 days. Tri County Financial Group is currently generating 0.0886% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.4972% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 4% of otc stocks are less volatile than Tri-County, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tri-County Financial is expected to generate 0.67 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.48 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Tri-County Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Tri-County OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 50.10 90 days 50.10 
about 1.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tri-County Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.43 (This Tri County Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of Tri-County OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tri-County Financial has a beta of 0.0096. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tri-County Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tri County Financial Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tri County Financial Group has an alpha of 0.0952, implying that it can generate a 0.0952 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tri-County Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tri-County Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tri County Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.6150.1050.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.9349.4255.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.6750.1750.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.4349.2350.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tri-County Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tri-County Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tri-County Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tri County Financial.

Tri-County Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tri-County Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tri-County Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tri County Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tri-County Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Tri-County Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tri-County OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tri-County Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tri-County Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 M
Dividends Paid1.9 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.8
Shares Float2.2 M

Tri-County Financial Fundamentals Growth

Tri-County OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tri-County Financial, and Tri-County Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tri-County OTC Stock performance.

About Tri-County Financial Performance

By analyzing Tri-County Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Tri-County Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Tri-County Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tri-County Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for First State Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States. Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Mendota, Illinois. Tri County operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Tri County Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tri-County Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Tri County Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Tri-County Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Tri-County Financial's otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Tri-County Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tri-County Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Tri-County Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Tri-County Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tri-County Financial's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tri-County Financial's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Tri-County Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Tri-County Financial's otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Tri-County Financial's otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Tri-County OTC Stock analysis

When running Tri-County Financial's price analysis, check to measure Tri-County Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tri-County Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Tri-County Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tri-County Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tri-County Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tri-County Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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