United Fire Group Stock Market Value
| UFCS Stock | USD 36.13 0.07 0.19% |
| Symbol | United |
Is there potential for Property & Casualty Insurance market expansion? Will United introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Fire. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about United Fire listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.961 | Dividend Share 0.64 | Earnings Share 4.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 |
Understanding United Fire Group requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects United's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what United Fire's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push United Fire's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Fire's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Fire is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, United Fire's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
United Fire 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to United Fire's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of United Fire.
| 11/13/2025 |
| 02/11/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in United Fire on November 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United Fire Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in United Fire over 90 days. United Fire is related to or competes with Heritage Insurance, Universal Insurance, Donegal Group, Ategrity Specialty, Bowhead Specialty, American Coastal, and Mercantile Bank. United Fire Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance for individuals and bu... More
United Fire Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure United Fire's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United Fire Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.43 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.06 |
United Fire Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United Fire's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as United Fire's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use United Fire historical prices to predict the future United Fire's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0308 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0828 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Fire's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Fire February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0308 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0928 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2996.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0828 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.43 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.24) | |||
| Skewness | 0.013 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.76) |
United Fire Group Backtested Returns
United Fire Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. United Fire Group exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate United Fire's Semi Deviation of 1.25, risk adjusted performance of 0.0308, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2996.12 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.42, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, United Fire's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding United Fire is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, United Fire Group has a negative expected return of -0.0076%. Please make sure to validate United Fire's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if United Fire Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.58 |
Modest predictability
United Fire Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between United Fire time series from 13th of November 2025 to 28th of December 2025 and 28th of December 2025 to 11th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United Fire Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current United Fire price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.58 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.49 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.5 |
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Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis
When running United Fire's price analysis, check to measure United Fire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Fire is operating at the current time. Most of United Fire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Fire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Fire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Fire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.