United Fire Group Stock Technical Analysis
| UFCS Stock | USD 37.05 0.49 1.31% |
As of the 7th of February, United Fire has the Coefficient Of Variation of 687.46, semi deviation of 1.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1236. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of United Fire Group, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate United Fire Group coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if United Fire is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 37.05 per share. Given that United Fire Group has jensen alpha of 0.2712, we advise you to double-check United Fire Group's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
United Fire Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as United, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to UnitedUnited Fire's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.United Fire Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 37.5 | Buy | 2 | Odds |
Most United analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand United stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of United Fire Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to United conference calls.
Is there potential for Property & Casualty Insurance market expansion? Will United introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Fire. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about United Fire listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.961 | Dividend Share 0.64 | Earnings Share 4.24 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 |
Understanding United Fire Group requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects United's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what United Fire's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push United Fire's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Fire's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Fire is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, United Fire's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
United Fire 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to United Fire's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of United Fire.
| 11/09/2025 |
| 02/07/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in United Fire on November 9, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United Fire Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in United Fire over 90 days. United Fire is related to or competes with Heritage Insurance, Universal Insurance, Donegal Group, Ategrity Specialty, Bowhead Specialty, American Coastal, and Mercantile Bank. United Fire Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance for individuals and bu... More
United Fire Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure United Fire's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United Fire Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1052 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.90) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.14 |
United Fire Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United Fire's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as United Fire's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use United Fire historical prices to predict the future United Fire's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1236 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2712 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0937 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1882 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5887 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Fire's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Fire February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1236 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5987 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 687.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Variance | 4.95 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1052 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2712 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0937 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1882 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5887 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.90) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.69) | |||
| Skewness | 4.17 | |||
| Kurtosis | 26.51 |
United Fire Group Backtested Returns
Currently, United Fire Group is very steady. United Fire Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0389, which indicates the firm had a 0.0389 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for United Fire Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate United Fire's Coefficient Of Variation of 687.46, semi deviation of 1.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1236 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0511%. United Fire has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.53, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, United Fire's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding United Fire is expected to be smaller as well. United Fire Group right now has a risk of 1.31%. Please validate United Fire semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if United Fire will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.67 |
Good predictability
United Fire Group has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between United Fire time series from 9th of November 2025 to 24th of December 2025 and 24th of December 2025 to 7th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United Fire Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current United Fire price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.67 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.55 |
United Fire technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
United Fire Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of United Fire Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About United Fire Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of United Fire Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Fire Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on United Fire Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding United Fire Group. By analyzing United Fire's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of United Fire's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to United Fire specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0259 | 0.0228 | 0.0318 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.46 |
United Fire February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of United help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1236 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5987 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 687.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Variance | 4.95 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1052 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2712 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0937 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1882 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5887 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.90) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.69) | |||
| Skewness | 4.17 | |||
| Kurtosis | 26.51 |
United Fire February 7, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as United stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4,986 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.40) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 37.48 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 37.34 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.68) |
Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis
When running United Fire's price analysis, check to measure United Fire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Fire is operating at the current time. Most of United Fire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Fire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Fire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Fire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.