GILEAD SCIENCES INC Market Value

375558BA0   87.38  0.38  0.44%   
GILEAD's market value is the price at which a share of GILEAD trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of GILEAD SCIENCES INC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of GILEAD SCIENCES INC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in GILEAD over a given investment horizon.
Check out GILEAD Correlation, GILEAD Volatility and GILEAD Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on GILEAD.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between GILEAD's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GILEAD is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GILEAD's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

GILEAD 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GILEAD's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GILEAD.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in GILEAD on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GILEAD SCIENCES INC or generate 0.0% return on investment in GILEAD over 30 days. GILEAD is related to or competes with Coca Cola, JPMorgan Chase, Dupont De, Alcoa Corp, Boeing, Microsoft, and Procter Gamble. More

GILEAD Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GILEAD's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GILEAD SCIENCES INC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

GILEAD Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GILEAD's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GILEAD's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GILEAD historical prices to predict the future GILEAD's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.6287.3888.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.7656.5296.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.0073.7774.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-24.9459.95144.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GILEAD. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GILEAD's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GILEAD's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GILEAD SCIENCES INC.

GILEAD SCIENCES INC Backtested Returns

GILEAD SCIENCES INC holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0871, which attests that the entity had a -0.0871% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. GILEAD SCIENCES INC exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out GILEAD's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16), market risk adjusted performance of 3.31, and Coefficient Of Variation of (466.89) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The bond retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0801, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning GILEAD are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, GILEAD is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

GILEAD SCIENCES INC has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GILEAD time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GILEAD SCIENCES INC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current GILEAD price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test-0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.51

GILEAD SCIENCES INC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is GILEAD bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GILEAD's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GILEAD returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GILEAD has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

GILEAD regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GILEAD bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GILEAD bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GILEAD bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

GILEAD Lagged Returns

When evaluating GILEAD's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GILEAD bond have on its future price. GILEAD autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GILEAD autocorrelation shows the relationship between GILEAD bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GILEAD SCIENCES INC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in GILEAD Bond

GILEAD financial ratios help investors to determine whether GILEAD Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GILEAD with respect to the benefits of owning GILEAD security.