Graphic Packaging International Market Value

38869AAB3   87.45  6.55  6.97%   
Graphic's market value is the price at which a share of Graphic trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Graphic Packaging International investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Graphic Packaging International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Graphic over a given investment horizon.
Check out Graphic Correlation, Graphic Volatility and Graphic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Graphic.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Graphic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graphic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graphic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Graphic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Graphic's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Graphic.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Graphic on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Graphic Packaging International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Graphic over 30 days. Graphic is related to or competes with Coca Cola, JPMorgan Chase, Dupont De, Alcoa Corp, Boeing, Microsoft, and Procter Gamble. More

Graphic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Graphic's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Graphic Packaging International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Graphic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Graphic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Graphic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Graphic historical prices to predict the future Graphic's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.4487.4588.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.6576.6696.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.0986.1087.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84.7988.0491.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Graphic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Graphic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Graphic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Graphic Packaging.

Graphic Packaging Backtested Returns

Graphic Packaging holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0164, which attests that the entity had a -0.0164% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Graphic Packaging exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Graphic's market risk adjusted performance of 0.8188, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The bond retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Graphic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Graphic is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

Graphic Packaging International has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Graphic time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Graphic Packaging price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Graphic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.53

Graphic Packaging lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Graphic bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Graphic's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Graphic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Graphic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Graphic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Graphic bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Graphic bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Graphic bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Graphic Lagged Returns

When evaluating Graphic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Graphic bond have on its future price. Graphic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Graphic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Graphic bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Graphic Packaging International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Graphic Bond

Graphic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Graphic Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Graphic with respect to the benefits of owning Graphic security.