MICROSOFT P 53 Market Value

594918AM6   106.15  4.24  3.84%   
594918AM6's market value is the price at which a share of 594918AM6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MICROSOFT P 53 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MICROSOFT P 53 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 594918AM6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 594918AM6 Correlation, 594918AM6 Volatility and 594918AM6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 594918AM6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 594918AM6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 594918AM6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 594918AM6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

594918AM6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 594918AM6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 594918AM6.
0.00
10/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 594918AM6 on October 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MICROSOFT P 53 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 594918AM6 over 30 days. 594918AM6 is related to or competes with Allient, Univest Pennsylvania, Siriuspoint, Valneva SE, Kaltura, NETGEAR, and ServiceNow. More

594918AM6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 594918AM6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MICROSOFT P 53 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

594918AM6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 594918AM6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 594918AM6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 594918AM6 historical prices to predict the future 594918AM6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.01106.15107.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.5898.72116.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.87105.01106.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.63109.28114.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 594918AM6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 594918AM6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 594918AM6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MICROSOFT P 53.

MICROSOFT P 53 Backtested Returns

MICROSOFT P 53 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which signifies that the bond had a -0.15% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 594918AM6 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 594918AM6's Information Ratio of (0.14), mean deviation of 0.9697, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2399 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 594918AM6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 594918AM6 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.44  

Average predictability

MICROSOFT P 53 has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 594918AM6 time series from 22nd of October 2024 to 6th of November 2024 and 6th of November 2024 to 21st of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MICROSOFT P 53 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current 594918AM6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.82

MICROSOFT P 53 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 594918AM6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 594918AM6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 594918AM6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 594918AM6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

594918AM6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 594918AM6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 594918AM6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 594918AM6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

594918AM6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 594918AM6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 594918AM6 bond have on its future price. 594918AM6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 594918AM6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 594918AM6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MICROSOFT P 53.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 594918AM6 Bond

594918AM6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 594918AM6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 594918AM6 with respect to the benefits of owning 594918AM6 security.