MICROSOFT PORATION Market Value

594918CD4   63.60  1.01  1.61%   
MICROSOFT's market value is the price at which a share of MICROSOFT trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MICROSOFT PORATION investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MICROSOFT PORATION and determine expected loss or profit from investing in MICROSOFT over a given investment horizon.
Check out MICROSOFT Correlation, MICROSOFT Volatility and MICROSOFT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MICROSOFT.
For information on how to trade MICROSOFT Bond refer to our How to Trade MICROSOFT Bond guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between MICROSOFT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MICROSOFT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MICROSOFT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

MICROSOFT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MICROSOFT's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MICROSOFT.
0.00
08/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MICROSOFT on August 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MICROSOFT PORATION or generate 0.0% return on investment in MICROSOFT over 480 days. MICROSOFT is related to or competes with Infosys, Verde Clean, Zedge, Pinterest, and Radcom. More

MICROSOFT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MICROSOFT's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MICROSOFT PORATION upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MICROSOFT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MICROSOFT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MICROSOFT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MICROSOFT historical prices to predict the future MICROSOFT's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.5663.6064.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.2364.2765.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.8261.8662.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.3863.4065.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MICROSOFT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MICROSOFT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MICROSOFT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MICROSOFT PORATION.

MICROSOFT PORATION Backtested Returns

MICROSOFT PORATION retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0836, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0836% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. MICROSOFT exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MICROSOFT's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.47), coefficient of variation of (2,368), and Mean Deviation of 1.18 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.2, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MICROSOFT's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MICROSOFT is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

MICROSOFT PORATION has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MICROSOFT time series from 19th of August 2023 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MICROSOFT PORATION price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current MICROSOFT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.87

MICROSOFT PORATION lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is MICROSOFT bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MICROSOFT's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MICROSOFT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MICROSOFT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

MICROSOFT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MICROSOFT bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MICROSOFT bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MICROSOFT bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

MICROSOFT Lagged Returns

When evaluating MICROSOFT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MICROSOFT bond have on its future price. MICROSOFT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MICROSOFT autocorrelation shows the relationship between MICROSOFT bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MICROSOFT PORATION.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in MICROSOFT Bond

MICROSOFT financial ratios help investors to determine whether MICROSOFT Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MICROSOFT with respect to the benefits of owning MICROSOFT security.