Post Holdings 4625 Market Value

737446AQ7   88.75  5.09  5.42%   
737446AQ7's market value is the price at which a share of 737446AQ7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Post Holdings 4625 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Post Holdings 4625 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 737446AQ7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 737446AQ7 Correlation, 737446AQ7 Volatility and 737446AQ7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 737446AQ7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 737446AQ7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 737446AQ7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 737446AQ7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

737446AQ7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 737446AQ7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 737446AQ7.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 737446AQ7 on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Post Holdings 4625 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 737446AQ7 over 720 days. 737446AQ7 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Jackson Financial, Brera Holdings, MetLife, Fortinet, and Exxon. More

737446AQ7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 737446AQ7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Post Holdings 4625 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

737446AQ7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 737446AQ7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 737446AQ7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 737446AQ7 historical prices to predict the future 737446AQ7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.0188.7589.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.2776.0197.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
87.2587.9888.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.1992.6396.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 737446AQ7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 737446AQ7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 737446AQ7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Post Holdings 4625.

Post Holdings 4625 Backtested Returns

Post Holdings 4625 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Post Holdings 4625 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 737446AQ7's Mean Deviation of 0.4435, variance of 1.03, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4363 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.27, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 737446AQ7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 737446AQ7 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.42  

Modest reverse predictability

Post Holdings 4625 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 737446AQ7 time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Post Holdings 4625 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current 737446AQ7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.42
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.7

Post Holdings 4625 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 737446AQ7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 737446AQ7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 737446AQ7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 737446AQ7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

737446AQ7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 737446AQ7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 737446AQ7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 737446AQ7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

737446AQ7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 737446AQ7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 737446AQ7 bond have on its future price. 737446AQ7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 737446AQ7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 737446AQ7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Post Holdings 4625.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 737446AQ7 Bond

737446AQ7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 737446AQ7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 737446AQ7 with respect to the benefits of owning 737446AQ7 security.