STATE STREET P Market Value

857477BP7   84.52  1.94  2.24%   
STATE's market value is the price at which a share of STATE trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of STATE STREET P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of STATE STREET P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in STATE over a given investment horizon.
Check out STATE Correlation, STATE Volatility and STATE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on STATE.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between STATE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STATE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STATE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

STATE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to STATE's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of STATE.
0.00
02/07/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/09/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in STATE on February 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding STATE STREET P or generate 0.0% return on investment in STATE over 30 days. STATE is related to or competes with Tandy Leather, Ralph Lauren, BK Technologies, Digi International, Capri Holdings, Anterix, and Columbia Sportswear. More

STATE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure STATE's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess STATE STREET P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

STATE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for STATE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as STATE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use STATE historical prices to predict the future STATE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.9684.5286.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.9382.4992.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.2080.7682.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.9485.1590.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as STATE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against STATE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, STATE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in STATE STREET P.

STATE STREET P Backtested Returns

STATE STREET P retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which indicates the bond had a -0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. STATE exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate STATE's downside deviation of 3.4, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0124 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.71, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning STATE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, STATE is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

STATE STREET P has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between STATE time series from 7th of February 2025 to 22nd of February 2025 and 22nd of February 2025 to 9th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of STATE STREET P price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current STATE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.45
STATE ReturnsSTATE Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwaySTATE ReturnsSTATE Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

STATE STREET P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is STATE bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting STATE's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of STATE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that STATE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MarMayJulSepNov-14%-12%-10%-8%-6%-4%-2%0%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

STATE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If STATE bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if STATE bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in STATE bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MarMayJulSepNov838485868788
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

STATE Lagged Returns

When evaluating STATE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of STATE bond have on its future price. STATE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, STATE autocorrelation shows the relationship between STATE bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in STATE STREET P.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MarMayJulSepNov7476788082848688
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in STATE Bond

STATE financial ratios help investors to determine whether STATE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STATE with respect to the benefits of owning STATE security.

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