STATE STREET P Market Value

857477BP7   87.56  2.09  2.45%   
STATE's market value is the price at which a share of STATE trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of STATE STREET P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of STATE STREET P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in STATE over a given investment horizon.
Check out STATE Correlation, STATE Volatility and STATE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on STATE.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between STATE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STATE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STATE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

STATE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to STATE's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of STATE.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in STATE on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding STATE STREET P or generate 0.0% return on investment in STATE over 30 days. STATE is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Charles Schwab, Knightscope, Liberty Media, Marvell Technology, and GM. More

STATE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure STATE's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess STATE STREET P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

STATE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for STATE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as STATE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use STATE historical prices to predict the future STATE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.0587.5688.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.4885.9996.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.8786.3886.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.4284.7289.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as STATE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against STATE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, STATE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in STATE STREET P.

STATE STREET P Backtested Returns

At this point, STATE is very steady. STATE STREET P retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0047, which indicates the bond had a 0.0047% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for STATE, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the bond. Please validate STATE's risk adjusted performance of 0.0079, and Downside Deviation of 1.13 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0024%. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.13, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, STATE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding STATE is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.58  

Modest predictability

STATE STREET P has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between STATE time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of STATE STREET P price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current STATE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.58
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.04

STATE STREET P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is STATE bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting STATE's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of STATE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that STATE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

STATE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If STATE bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if STATE bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in STATE bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

STATE Lagged Returns

When evaluating STATE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of STATE bond have on its future price. STATE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, STATE autocorrelation shows the relationship between STATE bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in STATE STREET P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in STATE Bond

STATE financial ratios help investors to determine whether STATE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STATE with respect to the benefits of owning STATE security.