Baillie Gifford (UK) Market Value

USA Etf   267.00  0.50  0.19%   
Baillie Gifford's market value is the price at which a share of Baillie Gifford trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Baillie Gifford Growth investors about its performance. Baillie Gifford is trading at 267.00 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 0.19 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 265.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Baillie Gifford Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Baillie Gifford over a given investment horizon. Check out Baillie Gifford Correlation, Baillie Gifford Volatility and Baillie Gifford Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Baillie Gifford.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Baillie Gifford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baillie Gifford is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baillie Gifford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Baillie Gifford 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Baillie Gifford's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Baillie Gifford.
0.00
08/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Baillie Gifford on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Baillie Gifford Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Baillie Gifford over 90 days. Baillie Gifford is related to or competes with IShares MSCI, Amundi EUR, IShares JP, Xtrackers MSCI, and Lyxor Smart. Baillie Gifford is entity of United Kingdom More

Baillie Gifford Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Baillie Gifford's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Baillie Gifford Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Baillie Gifford Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Baillie Gifford's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Baillie Gifford's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Baillie Gifford historical prices to predict the future Baillie Gifford's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
268.02269.50270.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
242.55281.79283.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
266.90268.38269.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
201.87238.17274.46
Details

Baillie Gifford Growth Backtested Returns

Baillie Gifford appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Baillie Gifford Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.34, which signifies that the etf had a 0.34% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Baillie Gifford's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.5% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Baillie Gifford's Mean Deviation of 0.9852, downside deviation of 1.17, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2571 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0672, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Baillie Gifford are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Baillie Gifford is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.87  

Very good predictability

Baillie Gifford Growth has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Baillie Gifford time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Baillie Gifford Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current Baillie Gifford price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.87
Spearman Rank Test0.87
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance388.93

Baillie Gifford Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Baillie Gifford etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Baillie Gifford's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Baillie Gifford returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Baillie Gifford has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Baillie Gifford regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Baillie Gifford etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Baillie Gifford etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Baillie Gifford etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Baillie Gifford Lagged Returns

When evaluating Baillie Gifford's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Baillie Gifford etf have on its future price. Baillie Gifford autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Baillie Gifford autocorrelation shows the relationship between Baillie Gifford etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Baillie Gifford Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Baillie Etf

Baillie Gifford financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baillie Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baillie with respect to the benefits of owning Baillie Gifford security.