United States Cellular Stock Market Value
USM Stock | USD 63.64 1.36 2.09% |
Symbol | USM |
United States Cellular Price To Book Ratio
Is Wireless Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of U S Cellular. If investors know USM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about U S Cellular listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.953 | Earnings Share (0.35) | Revenue Per Share 44.303 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.0102 |
The market value of United States Cellular is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of U S Cellular's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is U S Cellular's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because U S Cellular's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect U S Cellular's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between U S Cellular's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if U S Cellular is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, U S Cellular's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
U S Cellular 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to U S Cellular's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of U S Cellular.
10/30/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in U S Cellular on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United States Cellular or generate 0.0% return on investment in U S Cellular over 30 days. U S Cellular is related to or competes with RLJ Lodging, Stepstone, Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, Vanguard Small, Via Renewables, and Barings BDC. United States Cellular Corporation provides wireless telecommunications services in the United States More
U S Cellular Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure U S Cellular's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United States Cellular upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 2.3 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0426 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 14.05 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.26) | |||
Potential Upside | 3.03 |
U S Cellular Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for U S Cellular's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as U S Cellular's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use U S Cellular historical prices to predict the future U S Cellular's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0785 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.1171 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.0458 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.2459 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of U S Cellular's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United States Cellular Backtested Returns
As of now, USM Stock is very steady. United States Cellular owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0785, which indicates the firm had a 0.0785% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for United States Cellular, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate U S Cellular's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0785, coefficient of variation of 1070.02, and Semi Deviation of 2.06 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. U S Cellular has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.9, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. U S Cellular returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, U S Cellular is expected to follow. United States Cellular right now has a risk of 2.48%. Please validate U S Cellular maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if U S Cellular will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.72 |
Good predictability
United States Cellular has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between U S Cellular time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United States Cellular price movement. The serial correlation of 0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current U S Cellular price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.72 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.35 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 1.5 |
United States Cellular lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is U S Cellular stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting U S Cellular's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of U S Cellular returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that U S Cellular has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
U S Cellular regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If U S Cellular stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if U S Cellular stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in U S Cellular stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
U S Cellular Lagged Returns
When evaluating U S Cellular's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of U S Cellular stock have on its future price. U S Cellular autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, U S Cellular autocorrelation shows the relationship between U S Cellular stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in United States Cellular.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out U S Cellular Correlation, U S Cellular Volatility and U S Cellular Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on U S Cellular. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
U S Cellular technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.