Us Metro Bancorp Stock Market Value
| USMT Stock | USD 5.15 0.05 0.98% |
| Symbol | USMT |
US Metro 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to US Metro's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of US Metro.
| 10/04/2025 |
| 01/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in US Metro on October 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US Metro Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in US Metro over 90 days. US Metro is related to or competes with Third Century, 1st Federal, Absecon Bancorp, First Niles, Liberty Northwest, Southern Banc, and CNB Financial. US Metro Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for US Metro Bank that provides various banking services to ... More
US Metro Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure US Metro's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US Metro Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0637 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.75 |
US Metro Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for US Metro's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as US Metro's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use US Metro historical prices to predict the future US Metro's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0793 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1356 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0413 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0437 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.52 |
US Metro Bancorp Backtested Returns
Currently, US Metro Bancorp is somewhat reliable. US Metro Bancorp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1, which indicates the firm had a 0.1 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for US Metro, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate US Metro's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0793, mean deviation of 0.6746, and Downside Deviation of 2.05 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. US Metro has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0549, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, US Metro's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding US Metro is expected to be smaller as well. US Metro Bancorp at this moment owns a risk of 1.45%. Please validate US Metro Bancorp value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and kurtosis , to decide if US Metro Bancorp will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | -0.49 |
Modest reverse predictability
US Metro Bancorp has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between US Metro time series from 4th of October 2025 to 18th of November 2025 and 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US Metro Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current US Metro price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.49 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.49 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
US Metro Bancorp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is US Metro otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting US Metro's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of US Metro returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that US Metro has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
US Metro regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If US Metro otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if US Metro otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in US Metro otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
US Metro Lagged Returns
When evaluating US Metro's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of US Metro otc stock have on its future price. US Metro autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, US Metro autocorrelation shows the relationship between US Metro otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US Metro Bancorp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for USMT OTC Stock Analysis
When running US Metro's price analysis, check to measure US Metro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy US Metro is operating at the current time. Most of US Metro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of US Metro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move US Metro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of US Metro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.