US Metro OTC Stock Forward View
| USMT Stock | USD 5.71 0.26 4.77% |
USMT OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The value of RSI of US Metro's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the otc stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 90
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using US Metro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of US Metro Bancorp from the perspective of US Metro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of US Metro Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.01. US Metro after-hype prediction price | USD 5.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
USMT |
US Metro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine USMT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for USMT using various technical indicators. When you analyze USMT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
US Metro Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of US Metro Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict USMT OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that US Metro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
US Metro OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest US Metro | US Metro Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
US Metro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting US Metro's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. US Metro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.78 and 6.55, respectively. We have considered US Metro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of US Metro otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent US Metro otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.8749 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0329 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0062 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0089 |
Predictive Modules for US Metro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Metro Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.US Metro After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of US Metro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in US Metro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of US Metro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
US Metro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting US Metro's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on US Metro's historical news coverage. US Metro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.81 and 6.61, respectively. We have considered US Metro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
US Metro is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of US Metro Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
US Metro OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as US Metro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading US Metro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with US Metro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.71 | 5.71 | 0.00 |
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US Metro Hype Timeline
US Metro Bancorp is at this time traded for 5.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.13. USMT is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on US Metro is about 101.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.84. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. US Metro Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Metro to cross-verify your projections.US Metro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to US Metro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict US Metro's future price movements. Getting to know how US Metro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how US Metro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAT | Caterpillar | 10.07 | 5 per month | 1.91 | 0.12 | 3.53 | (4.03) | 8.72 | |
| GSFP | Goldman Sachs | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.33 | 0.20 | 1.27 | (1.10) | 3.10 | |
| PXGYF | PAX Global Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.92 | (6.15) | 14.79 | |
| SPSTY | Singapore Post Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.41 | (3.49) | 16.23 | |
| MKDW | MKDWELL Tech Ordinary | 0.45 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.84 | (8.97) | 36.75 | |
| SPSTF | Singapore Post Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.92 | |
| CAPR | Capricor Therapeutics | (2.16) | 11 per month | 4.54 | 0.12 | 11.51 | (10.26) | 386.29 | |
| LPSN | LivePerson | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.56 | (6.85) | 25.36 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | 0.37 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.94 | (3.16) | 9.49 | |
| SKLTY | Seek Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.18 | (2.93) | 9.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for US Metro
For every potential investor in USMT, whether a beginner or expert, US Metro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. USMT OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in USMT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying US Metro's price trends.US Metro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with US Metro otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of US Metro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing US Metro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
US Metro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how US Metro otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading US Metro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying US Metro otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify US Metro Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
US Metro Risk Indicators
The analysis of US Metro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in US Metro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting usmt otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4304 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9124 | |||
| Variance | 0.8326 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for US Metro
The number of cover stories for US Metro depends on current market conditions and US Metro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that US Metro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about US Metro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for USMT OTC Stock Analysis
When running US Metro's price analysis, check to measure US Metro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy US Metro is operating at the current time. Most of US Metro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of US Metro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move US Metro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of US Metro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.