Vanguard Australian (Australia) Market Value

VAF Etf   45.17  0.05  0.11%   
Vanguard Australian's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Australian trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Australian Fixed investors about its performance. Vanguard Australian is selling for under 45.17 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.11 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's last reported lowest price was 45.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Australian Fixed and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Australian over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Australian Correlation, Vanguard Australian Volatility and Vanguard Australian Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Australian.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Australian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Australian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Australian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Australian 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Australian's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Australian.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 25 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Australian on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Australian Fixed or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Australian over 480 days. Vanguard Australian is related to or competes with IShares Core, IShares CoreSP, SPDR SP, IShares Core, Vanguard Total, IShares Global, and SPDR SP. Vanguard Australian is entity of Australia More

Vanguard Australian Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Australian's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Australian Fixed upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Australian Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Australian's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Australian's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Australian historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Australian's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.9445.1745.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.4443.6749.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.0345.2645.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.1145.1545.20
Details

Vanguard Australian Fixed Backtested Returns

Vanguard Australian Fixed owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which indicates the etf had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Australian Fixed exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Australian's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,081), variance of 0.0567, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0322, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vanguard Australian are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vanguard Australian is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.63  

Good predictability

Vanguard Australian Fixed has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Australian time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Australian Fixed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Vanguard Australian price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.4

Vanguard Australian Fixed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Australian etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Australian's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Australian returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Australian has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Australian regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Australian etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Australian etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Australian etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Australian Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Australian's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Australian etf have on its future price. Vanguard Australian autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Australian autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Australian etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Australian Fixed.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Etf

Vanguard Australian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Australian security.