Vodacom Group Ltd Stock Market Value

VDMCY Stock  USD 6.53  0.06  0.93%   
Vodacom Group's market value is the price at which a share of Vodacom Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vodacom Group Ltd investors about its performance. Vodacom Group is trading at 6.53 as of the 7th of February 2025; that is 0.93 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vodacom Group Ltd and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vodacom Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Vodacom Group Correlation, Vodacom Group Volatility and Vodacom Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vodacom Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vodacom Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vodacom Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vodacom Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vodacom Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vodacom Group's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vodacom Group.
0.00
01/08/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/07/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vodacom Group on January 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vodacom Group Ltd or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vodacom Group over 30 days. Vodacom Group is related to or competes with XL Axiata, Telenor ASA, Tele2 AB, MTN Group, KT, WideOpenWest, and Telenor ASA. Vodacom Group Limited operates as a connectivity, digital, and financial services company in South Africa and internatio... More

Vodacom Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vodacom Group's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vodacom Group Ltd upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vodacom Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vodacom Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vodacom Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vodacom Group historical prices to predict the future Vodacom Group's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vodacom Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.586.538.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.627.579.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.556.508.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.055.716.37
Details

Vodacom Group Backtested Returns

Vodacom Group appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Vodacom Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.14, which indicates the firm had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vodacom Group Ltd, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Vodacom Group's Coefficient Of Variation of 721.55, risk adjusted performance of 0.1208, and Semi Deviation of 1.65 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Vodacom Group holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 0.58, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vodacom Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vodacom Group is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Vodacom Group's sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Vodacom Group's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

Vodacom Group Ltd has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vodacom Group time series from 8th of January 2025 to 23rd of January 2025 and 23rd of January 2025 to 7th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vodacom Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Vodacom Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.88
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Vodacom Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vodacom Group pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vodacom Group's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vodacom Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vodacom Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vodacom Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vodacom Group pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vodacom Group pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vodacom Group pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vodacom Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vodacom Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vodacom Group pink sheet have on its future price. Vodacom Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vodacom Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vodacom Group pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vodacom Group Ltd.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Vodacom Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Vodacom Group's price analysis, check to measure Vodacom Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vodacom Group is operating at the current time. Most of Vodacom Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vodacom Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vodacom Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vodacom Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.