Vanguard Growth Index Fund Market Value

VIGRX Fund  USD 208.89  1.35  0.64%   
Vanguard Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Growth Index investors about its performance. Vanguard Growth is trading at 208.89 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.64 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 210.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Growth Index and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Growth Correlation, Vanguard Growth Volatility and Vanguard Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Growth.
0.00
08/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Growth on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Growth Index or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Growth over 90 days. Vanguard Growth is related to or competes with Sarofim Equity, The Gabelli, Huber Capital, Locorr Dynamic, Cutler Equity, and Calamos Global. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, a broadly diversified i... More

Vanguard Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Growth Index upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Growth historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
207.93208.89209.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
183.91184.87229.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
207.19208.15209.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
198.06206.15214.24
Details

Vanguard Growth Index Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard Growth Index owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.18, which indicates the fund had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vanguard Growth Index, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Growth's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1437, semi deviation of 0.7456, and Coefficient Of Variation of 540.85 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The entity has a beta of 0.13, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Vanguard Growth Index has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Growth time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Growth Index price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Vanguard Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance16.87

Vanguard Growth Index lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Growth Index.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Growth security.
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