Viscofan (Spain) Market Value

VIS Stock  EUR 61.40  0.10  0.16%   
Viscofan's market value is the price at which a share of Viscofan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Viscofan investors about its performance. Viscofan is trading at 61.40 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 0.16% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 61.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Viscofan and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Viscofan over a given investment horizon. Check out Viscofan Correlation, Viscofan Volatility and Viscofan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Viscofan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Viscofan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Viscofan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Viscofan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Viscofan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Viscofan's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Viscofan.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Viscofan on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Viscofan or generate 0.0% return on investment in Viscofan over 30 days. Viscofan is related to or competes with Enags SA, Mapfre, Cia De, and ACS Actividades. Viscofan, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes artificial casings primarily for use in the... More

Viscofan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Viscofan's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Viscofan upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Viscofan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Viscofan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Viscofan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Viscofan historical prices to predict the future Viscofan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.3161.4062.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.1551.2467.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59.5160.6061.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.7360.6961.65
Details

Viscofan Backtested Returns

At this point, Viscofan is very steady. Viscofan owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0419, which indicates the firm had a 0.0419% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Viscofan, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Viscofan's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.022, semi deviation of 1.0, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4035.29 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0458%. Viscofan has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.18, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Viscofan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Viscofan is likely to outperform the market. Viscofan right now has a risk of 1.09%. Please validate Viscofan value at risk, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to decide if Viscofan will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.51  

Good reverse predictability

Viscofan has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Viscofan time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Viscofan price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Viscofan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.51
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

Viscofan lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Viscofan stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Viscofan's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Viscofan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Viscofan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Viscofan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Viscofan stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Viscofan stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Viscofan stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Viscofan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Viscofan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Viscofan stock have on its future price. Viscofan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Viscofan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Viscofan stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Viscofan.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Viscofan Stock

Viscofan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Viscofan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Viscofan with respect to the benefits of owning Viscofan security.