Vanguard Mega Cap Fund Market Value
| VMVLX Fund | USD 262.34 2.14 0.82% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Mega 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Mega's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Mega.
| 12/03/2022 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Mega on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Mega Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Mega over 720 days. Vanguard Mega is related to or competes with Oklahoma Municipal, The National, Ab Impact, T Rowe, Franklin High, Pace Municipal, and California High-yield. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index More
Vanguard Mega Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Mega's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Mega Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.5541 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.90) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.05 |
Vanguard Mega Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Mega's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Mega's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Mega historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Mega's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1013 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0973 |
Vanguard Mega Cap Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard Mega Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the fund had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard Mega Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Mega's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1013, coefficient of variation of 742.77, and Semi Deviation of 0.4129 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0914%. The entity has a beta of 0.83, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Mega's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Mega is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.22 |
Weak predictability
Vanguard Mega Cap has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Mega time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Mega Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Vanguard Mega price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.22 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 227.77 |
Vanguard Mega Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Mega mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Mega's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Mega returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Mega has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Mega regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Mega mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Mega mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Mega mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Mega Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Mega's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Mega mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Mega autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Mega autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Mega mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Mega Cap.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Mega financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Mega security.
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