Vista Oil Gas Stock Market Value
| VSOGF Stock | USD 48.85 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Vista |
Vista Oil 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vista Oil's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vista Oil.
| 06/28/2025 |
| 12/25/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vista Oil on June 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vista Oil Gas or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vista Oil over 180 days. Vista Oil is related to or competes with Delek, Delek, Petro Rio, Harbour Energy, Schoeller Bleckmann, Yancoal Australia, and MOL PLC. Vista Oil Gas, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Lat... More
Vista Oil Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vista Oil's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vista Oil Gas upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.1119 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 47.59 |
Vista Oil Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vista Oil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vista Oil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vista Oil historical prices to predict the future Vista Oil's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.097 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6395 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.142 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5361 |
Vista Oil Gas Backtested Returns
Vista Oil appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Vista Oil Gas owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the firm had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Vista Oil's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.75% is justified by implied risk. Please review Vista Oil's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.097, variance of 35.39, and Coefficient Of Variation of 797.56 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Vista Oil holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of 1.37, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vista Oil will likely underperform. Please check Vista Oil's variance, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Vista Oil's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.55 |
Good reverse predictability
Vista Oil Gas has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vista Oil time series from 28th of June 2025 to 26th of September 2025 and 26th of September 2025 to 25th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vista Oil Gas price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Vista Oil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.7 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 54.99 |
Vista Oil Gas lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vista Oil pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vista Oil's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vista Oil returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vista Oil has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vista Oil regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vista Oil pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vista Oil pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vista Oil pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vista Oil Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vista Oil's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vista Oil pink sheet have on its future price. Vista Oil autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vista Oil autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vista Oil pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vista Oil Gas.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Vista Pink Sheet
When determining whether Vista Oil Gas is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Vista Pink Sheet is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Vista Oil Gas Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Vista Oil Gas Stock:Check out Vista Oil Correlation, Vista Oil Volatility and Vista Oil Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vista Oil. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Vista Oil technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.