Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced Fund Market Value

VTMFX Fund  USD 46.18  0.04  0.09%   
Vanguard Tax-managed's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Tax-managed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced investors about its performance. Vanguard Tax-managed is trading at 46.18 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.09 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 46.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Tax-managed over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Tax-managed Correlation, Vanguard Tax-managed Volatility and Vanguard Tax-managed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Tax-managed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Tax-managed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Tax-managed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Tax-managed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Tax-managed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Tax-managed.
0.00
05/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Tax-managed on May 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Tax-managed over 570 days. Vanguard Tax-managed is related to or competes with Jennison Natural, Oil Gas, Fidelity Advisor, World Energy, and Ivy Natural. The fund invests approximately 50 percent to 55 percent of its assets in municipal securities and the balance in common ... More

Vanguard Tax-managed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Tax-managed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Tax-managed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Tax-managed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Tax-managed historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Tax-managed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.8046.1846.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.4945.8746.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.7346.1146.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.4245.8546.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Tax-managed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Tax-managed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Tax-managed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard Tax Managed.

Vanguard Tax Managed Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard Tax Managed owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which indicates the fund had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Tax-managed's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1159, semi deviation of 0.2923, and Coefficient Of Variation of 605.72 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0599%. The entity has a beta of 0.4, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Tax-managed's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Tax-managed is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Tax-managed time series from 8th of May 2023 to 17th of February 2024 and 17th of February 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Tax Managed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Vanguard Tax-managed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.81

Vanguard Tax Managed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Tax-managed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Tax-managed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Tax-managed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Tax-managed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Tax-managed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Tax-managed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Tax-managed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Tax-managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Tax-managed security.
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