Vunani (South Africa) Market Value

VUN Stock   185.00  15.00  7.50%   
Vunani's market value is the price at which a share of Vunani trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vunani investors about its performance. Vunani is trading at 185.00 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 7.5 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 153.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vunani and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vunani over a given investment horizon. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
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Vunani 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vunani's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vunani.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vunani on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vunani or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vunani over 30 days.

Vunani Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vunani's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vunani upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vunani Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vunani's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vunani's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vunani historical prices to predict the future Vunani's volatility.

Vunani Backtested Returns

Vunani owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0382, which indicates the firm had a -0.0382% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vunani exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vunani's Coefficient Of Variation of 17472.8, risk adjusted performance of 0.0132, and Semi Deviation of 4.62 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -1.16, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vunani are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Vunani is expected to outperform it. At this point, Vunani has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate Vunani's potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if Vunani performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Vunani has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vunani time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vunani price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Vunani price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance18.6

Vunani lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vunani stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vunani's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vunani returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vunani has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vunani regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vunani stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vunani stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vunani stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vunani Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vunani's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vunani stock have on its future price. Vunani autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vunani autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vunani stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vunani.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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