X Fab (Germany) Market Value

XFB Stock  EUR 4.44  0.24  5.71%   
X Fab's market value is the price at which a share of X Fab trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of X Fab Silicon investors about its performance. X Fab is trading at 4.44 as of the 2nd of December 2024. This is a 5.71 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of X Fab Silicon and determine expected loss or profit from investing in X Fab over a given investment horizon. Check out X Fab Correlation, X Fab Volatility and X Fab Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on X Fab.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between X Fab's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if X Fab is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, X Fab's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

X Fab 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to X Fab's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of X Fab.
0.00
06/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in X Fab on June 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding X Fab Silicon or generate 0.0% return on investment in X Fab over 180 days. X Fab is related to or competes with Singapore Airlines, Microchip Technology, AECOM TECHNOLOGY, SINGAPORE AIRLINES, Vishay Intertechnology, and JAPAN AIRLINES. More

X Fab Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure X Fab's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess X Fab Silicon upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

X Fab Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for X Fab's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as X Fab's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use X Fab historical prices to predict the future X Fab's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.524.206.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.153.836.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.444.126.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.784.525.26
Details

X Fab Silicon Backtested Returns

X Fab Silicon shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. X Fab Silicon exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out X Fab's Mean Deviation of 1.96, standard deviation of 2.66, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.55, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, X Fab's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding X Fab is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, X Fab Silicon has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to check out X Fab's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if X Fab Silicon performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

X Fab Silicon has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between X Fab time series from 5th of June 2024 to 3rd of September 2024 and 3rd of September 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of X Fab Silicon price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current X Fab price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.14

X Fab Silicon lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is X Fab stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting X Fab's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of X Fab returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that X Fab has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

X Fab regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If X Fab stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if X Fab stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in X Fab stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

X Fab Lagged Returns

When evaluating X Fab's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of X Fab stock have on its future price. X Fab autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, X Fab autocorrelation shows the relationship between X Fab stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in X Fab Silicon.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in XFB Stock

X Fab financial ratios help investors to determine whether XFB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XFB with respect to the benefits of owning X Fab security.