CarGurus (Germany) Performance

0C6 Stock  EUR 22.40  0.60  2.61%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.018, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, CarGurus' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CarGurus is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, CarGurus has a negative expected return of -0.44%. Please make sure to confirm CarGurus' variance, jensen alpha, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if CarGurus performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days CarGurus has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
1
Did AI Innovations and Double-Digit Revenue Growth Just Shift CarGurus Investment Narrative - simplywall.st
11/28/2025
2
Jennifer Ladd Hanson Sells 2,358 Shares of CarGurus Stock - MarketBeat
01/05/2026
3
Assessing CarGurus Valuation As Shares Trade On A Higher PE Than Industry Peers - simplywall.st
01/08/2026
4
CarGurus, Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Hold by Brokerages - MarketBeat
01/15/2026
5
Did CarGurus 20-Year AI Revamp and 20,000-Dealer Adoption Just Shift Its Investment Narrative - simplywall.st
01/23/2026
6
Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd Purchases New Stake in CarGurus, Inc. CARG - MarketBeat
01/30/2026
7
CarGurus, Inc. A Bull Case Theory - Insider Monkey
02/03/2026
8
Is It Time To Reconsider CarGurus After The Recent Share Price Slump - Yahoo Finance
02/06/2026
9
CarGurus announces expansion of its Big Deal brand campaign - TipRanks
02/11/2026
  

CarGurus Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,960  in CarGurus on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (720.00) from holding CarGurus or give up 24.32% of portfolio value over 90 days. CarGurus is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.1051% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 18% of traded stocks are less volatile than CarGurus, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon CarGurus is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.79 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.21 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

CarGurus Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CarGurus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.40 90 days 22.40 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CarGurus to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This CarGurus probability density function shows the probability of CarGurus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CarGurus has a beta of 0.018. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CarGurus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CarGurus will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CarGurus has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CarGurus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CarGurus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CarGurus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4722.5824.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9321.0423.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.240.310.36
Details

CarGurus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CarGurus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CarGurus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CarGurus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CarGurus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

CarGurus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CarGurus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CarGurus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CarGurus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CarGurus is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: CarGurus announces expansion of its Big Deal brand campaign - TipRanks

CarGurus Fundamentals Growth

CarGurus Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CarGurus, and CarGurus fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CarGurus Stock performance.

About CarGurus Performance

By analyzing CarGurus' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CarGurus' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CarGurus has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CarGurus has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
CarGurus, Inc. operates an online automotive marketplace connecting buyers and sellers of new and used cars in the United States and internationally. CarGurus, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts. CARGURUS INC operates under Internet Content Information classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 827 people.

Things to note about CarGurus performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CarGurus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CarGurus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CarGurus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CarGurus is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: CarGurus announces expansion of its Big Deal brand campaign - TipRanks
Evaluating CarGurus' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CarGurus' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CarGurus' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CarGurus' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CarGurus' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CarGurus' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CarGurus' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CarGurus' stock. These opinions can provide insight into CarGurus' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CarGurus' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CarGurus' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for CarGurus Stock analysis

When running CarGurus' price analysis, check to measure CarGurus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CarGurus is operating at the current time. Most of CarGurus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CarGurus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CarGurus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CarGurus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
AI Portfolio Prophet
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals