CarGurus (Germany) Price Patterns
| 0C6 Stock | EUR 22.80 0.20 0.87% |
Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.143 | Wall Street Target Price 38.17 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 |
Using CarGurus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CarGurus from the perspective of CarGurus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CarGurus to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CarGurus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CarGurus after-hype prediction price | EUR 23.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CarGurus |
CarGurus After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CarGurus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CarGurus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CarGurus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CarGurus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CarGurus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CarGurus' historical news coverage. CarGurus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.86 and 25.14, respectively. We have considered CarGurus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CarGurus is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CarGurus is based on 3 months time horizon.
CarGurus Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CarGurus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CarGurus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CarGurus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 2.14 | 0.00 | 3.08 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.80 | 23.00 | 0.00 |
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CarGurus Hype Timeline
CarGurus is presently traded for 22.80on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 3.08. CarGurus is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on CarGurus is about 28.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.88. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.84. CarGurus had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out CarGurus Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CarGurus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CarGurus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CarGurus' future price movements. Getting to know how CarGurus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CarGurus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSUN | Samsung Electronics Co | (12.00) | 1 per month | 2.21 | 0.23 | 6.10 | (4.11) | 13.83 | |
| SSU | Samsung Electronics Co | 10.00 | 2 per month | 2.16 | 0.26 | 7.66 | (4.89) | 15.03 | |
| SSUN | Samsung Electronics Co | 54.00 | 8 per month | 2.28 | 0.24 | 6.04 | (4.93) | 14.94 | |
| SSU | Samsung Electronics Co | (30.00) | 1 per month | 2.05 | 0.24 | 6.22 | (3.69) | 15.50 | |
| ASJA | ASTRA INTERNATIONAL | 0.00 | 1 per month | 3.83 | 0.01 | 6.67 | (8.57) | 25.24 | |
| ASJA | PT Astra International | 45.65 | 8 per month | 5.13 | 0.02 | 12.50 | (10.81) | 31.11 | |
| ASJA | ASTRA INTERNATIONAL | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 3.03 | 0.00 | 23.05 | |
| ASJA | ASTRA INTERNATIONAL | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.95 | (0.01) | 3.13 | (3.03) | 6.35 | |
| BYRA | BANK RAKYAT IND | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.00 | (5.00) | 35.71 |
CarGurus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CarGurus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CarGurus using various technical indicators. When you analyze CarGurus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CarGurus Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CarGurus stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CarGurus, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CarGurus based on analysis of CarGurus hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CarGurus's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CarGurus's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for CarGurus Stock analysis
When running CarGurus' price analysis, check to measure CarGurus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CarGurus is operating at the current time. Most of CarGurus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CarGurus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CarGurus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CarGurus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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